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49° North Mountain Resort (Base: 3,956', Top: 5,775')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Wednesday, February 8, 2012

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-WEST; California, northern Nevada, Utah, Colorado, northern New Mexico, southern Idaho, Western Wyoming, and southwest Montana!
-UPPER MIDWEST; Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin!
-NEW ENGLAND; Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine!
-Weather discussions for most areas of the western US, including our reputable longer range forecasts.

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--SHORT RANGE WEATHER DISCUSSION--

Updated for Today February 08 - We see partly to mostly cloudy skies (middle and high clouds) this morning with an approaching weak weathner system. A weak weather disturbance (the northern portion of a storm that "split"~>1/2 south and <1/2 north) passes through this afternoon-evening, with increased clouds and light showers expected. A trace to 1" of snow is possible above 3,500 feet and at the resorts tonight. Clouds clear overnight and Thursday morning.

Thursday February 09 - After partly to mostly cloudy skies (mostly to partly sunny) Thursday morning, another weak weather disturbance passes through over a high pressure ridge aloft, for more afternoon through overnight showers. 1-2" of snow is possible above 4,000 feet and at the resorts. Clouds clear overnight (similar timing and trend) and Friday morning.

Friday and Saturday February 10-11 - Partly to mostly cloudy skies (mostly to partly sunny) are expected Friday morning, with another weak weather disturbance passing through late Friday, for more light showers. Mostly light snow is possible above 3,500 feet and at the resorts. On Saturday the chance for showers continues, but mostly light and with periods of sun mixed in.

Sunday and Monday February 12-13 - Increasing chances for showers are expected as high pressure ridging over the northwest US breaks down. Temperatures are also expected to be cooler, with lower snow levels, in the 2,500 to 3,000 foot range, as colder systems are able to push in. We could see better than the 1-2" of snowfall at the resorts. CM

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Wednesday
Feb 08, 2012

Partly Cloudy

Hi 36°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 23°f / -5°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Wind:
SW at up to 5 mph.

Thursday
Feb 09, 2012

Partly Cloudy

Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Wind:
ENE at up to 5 mph.

Friday
Feb 10, 2012

Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 25°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow

Wind:
SW at up to 5 mph.

Saturday
Feb 11, 2012

Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 33°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
30% Chance of snow

Wind:
WSW at up to 5 mph.

Sunday
Feb 12, 2012

Chance of Light Snow

Hi 33°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 23°f / -5°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow

Precipitation:
40% Chance of snow

Wind:
W at up to 10 mph.

Monday
Feb 13, 2012

Chance of Light Snow Showers

Hi 32°f / 0°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
40% Chance of snow

Wind:
SW at up to 5 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...February 14 to 17

--Light snow showers may start falling in valley areas by next Tuesday and Wednesday as stronger storms move through the inland Northwest US, and drop toward the southeast. These will not be block buster storms on their expected track, with most west to east forcing dampened by a southward trajectory. The weather in the last half of February looks colder and more unsettled, with some snow expected in the valleys and mountains on an occasional basis.

We are experiencing a moderate La Nina SST pattern that is now weakening in strength, and will continue to weaken into this summer. CM

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