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Boreal Ski & Snowboard Area (Base: 7,200', Top: 7,700')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Sunday, June 21, 2009

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Here is the latest from the NWS until we ramp operations again this fall--we'll have much more detailed and customized discussions and forecasts then...

REGIONAL DISCUSSION;

--> A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH EMBEDDED IMPULSES WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS/INTERMOUNTAIN REGION, AND PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS SOME SNOW IN THE FORECAST FOR THE CASCADES, MAINLY ABOVE 4,000 FEET, WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OVER A FOOT POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE FAVORED LOCATIONS LIKE MT BAKER.

--> TEMPERATURES BENEATH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE BELOW, TO MUCH BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGH MONDAY.

NOR-CAL SPECIFIC, AND LONGER RANGE;

LOCAL WINDS HAVE PICKED UP A LITTLE EARLIER THAN EXPECTED THIS MORNING WITH THE MAIN 
EFFECT ON AREA LAKES. TAHOE OBS AND CAMS INDICATE DECOUPLED LOWER ATMOSPHERE AND
CHOPPY LAKE WATERS. LITTLE CHANGE IN SHOWER COVERAGE EXPECTED OVER THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST HOWEVER MORNING SOUNDINGS...MODEL SOUNDINGS...AND EARLY 12Z MODELS INDICATE
TOO MUCH STABILITY FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. TONED DOWN THE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
OVER THE NORTHERN ZONES AND ALSO CHANGED THE TIMING TO SLIGHTLY EARLIER AS THE BEST
COLD POOL IS ALREADY OVERHEAD. WARMING TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND LESS UPPER FORCING
WILL ACTUALLY DECREASE SHOWER ACTIVITY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ONLY A FEW LINGERING
SHOWERS EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM
Saturday
Jul 04, 2009

Clear

Hi 71°f / 22°c (base)
Lo 48°f / 9°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Clear

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WSW at up to 10 mph.

Sunday
Jul 05, 2009

Mostly Sunny

Hi 69°f / 21°c (base)
Lo 44°f / 7°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
SW at up to 15 mph.

Monday
Jul 06, 2009

Partly Cloudy

Hi 61°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 41°f / 5°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
SW at up to 15 mph.

Tuesday
Jul 07, 2009

Partly Cloudy

Hi 58°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
SW at up to 20 mph.

Wednesday
Jul 08, 2009

Mostly Sunny

Hi 58°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
WSW at up to 15 mph.

Thursday
Jul 09, 2009

Mostly Sunny

Hi 60°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 41°f / 5°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
SW at up to 15 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...June 21 to August 31

For those who want to know, it looks like an El Nino SST pattern is developing and strengthening. We would expect more moisture for thunderstorms and showers this summer, and Pacific Hurricane activity with this development. We do not think this will be a dry summer compared to average, in fact it may be a bit wet. CM

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