Crotched Mountain Ski & Ride Area (Base: 1,050', Top: 2,066')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Sunday, March 21, 2010OVERALL SITUATION--***Become a fan on our Facebook page (with a LOT more fan interaction) and look for more giveaways!!!***
The sunny stretch starts coming to an end. A cold front and low pressure come together for a bout of rain early this upcoming week. Upper level troughing dips down towards us later in the week with cooler temps and possibly light chances of snow showers.
Today--The cold front barely drops in on us with increased cloudiness and only some light available moisture--perhaps just enough for a light sprinkle or summit flurry--not a washout by any means. Temperatures will be cold from overnight and remain cool during the day--snow levels will be climbing upslope in the morning...perhaps a light snow shower/flurry (summit mainly and accumulations not expected)--snow levels will be climbing back up to around 5000-6000 feet during the day. Breezes will be light in the morning before picking up out of the southwest in the afternoon.
Monday and Tuesday--Low pressure will still be slow to arrive on Monday--continued cloudiness from Sunday's cold front sticks around through the day and still with only light moisture avaialbe for some light raindrops/sprinkles. Some summit snow showers/flurries are still possible (northernmost resorts) but snow levels look to remain up around 6000 feet. Low pressure from the south starts to move in late and overnight with increasing moisture and rainfall (mainly overnight). Easterly winds wrap into us as low pressure scoots by just to our south--heavier pockets of rain are expected during the day....snow levels still pretty high for snow with colder air mixing in...an icy mix is possible for northernmost resorts later on Tuesday. Look for a gradual changeover to snow as the backedge of this storm pulls through overnight and into Wed.
Wednesday--Low pressure slowly moves away with rain ending as some snow early followed by partial clearing. Winds shift around to the north-northwest helping to dry things out. Temps rebound slightly too.
Thursday--Upper level troughing to our north starts to dip towards us. A surge of colder air (cold front) pushes in with more cloudiness and some isolated to scattered showers....temps look cold enough for mainly summit snow showers so some light summit accumulations are possible.
Friday--A secondary surge of cold air drops our temps even more along with some clouds and snow showers. Moisture with this looks minimal (coming from a dry source region) so accumulations are expected to be very light if any. Chilly winds kick in too--CT
Monday Mar 22, 2010
Hi 46°f / 8°c (base)
Lo 35°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Still cloudy and cool--mainly light occassional rain showers during the day...a bit steadier/heavier late and mainly overnight--snow levels look too high (6000')--shifting light breezes
Precipitation:
50-60% chance of mainly occassional light rain/showers at times during the day--turning steadier and heavier late/overnight
Snow Potential
Snow levels look too high (around 6000 feet)
Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...summit breezes shifting SW to SE at only 15-20mph
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Tuesday Mar 23, 2010
Hi 44°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 33°f / 1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Remaining cold and unsettled--heavier pockets of rain and gustier winds--varying snow levels with an icy mix at times
Precipitation:
70-80% chance of mainly rain (moderate to possibly heavy)...varying snow levels with possible icy mix
Snow Potential
Some summit snow possible...icy/rainy mix may keep accumulations low...trace to a few inches possible for the summit
Wind:
Stronger E-NE winds 10-15mph at the base...summit winds 30-40mph with higher gusts
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Wednesday Mar 24, 2010
Hi 44°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mainly cloudy with early snow showers tapering off--partial clearing to some sun
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of mainly early light snow showers tapering off
Snow Potential
A trace to an inch or two possible (summit mainly)
Wind:
NW base breezes 5-10mph...25-35mph up top
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Thursday Mar 25, 2010
Hi 48°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly cloudy and breezy--a few light isolated rain showers/summit snow showers
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of a few isolated rain showers/summit snow showers
Snow Potential
Accumulations not expected
Wind:
NW base breezes 10-15mph...30-40mph up top
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Friday Mar 26, 2010
Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Turning colder and windier with a batch of isolated to scattered snow showers
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of a round of isolated to scattered snow showers
Snow Potential
A quick trace to an inch or two possible
Wind:
Winds shifting NW at 15-20mph at the base...35-40mph with higher gusts
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Saturday Mar 27, 2010
Hi 39°f / 4°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
NW at up to 15 mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...March 27 to 30Upper level low pressure troughing hovers close by to our north but tends to barely shift away this weekend--it will keep us cool but mainly dry in between systems for now. However, we'll be watching the potential for some storminess approaching just after the weekend which could bring us a round of wind, snow and some rain--we'll be watching this very closely for around the Monday/Tuesday timeframe--CT
