6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Wednesday, September 8, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-At 6,230 feet (Tahoe City); Low 41, High 73 (Highest ~ 86 in 1932, Lowest ~ 26 in 1931)
-At 8,000 feet (About the base elevation of Kirkwood, "Twin Lakes"); Low 40, High 68

::: MOSTLY ISOLATED SHOWERS, CHILLY :::

SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 8th at 7:43am...Today and Thursday -> The strong early season low pressure system carves further south, and the jet stream + limited moisture + colder air and a lot of instability move over the region. There is a chance for showers, and snow at 7,500 to 8,000 feet. The showers should be mostly isolated (best chances for precip are across the north side of the lake, like at Squaw and Incline Village). The chance for showers continues into early Thursday, then we see low pressure move off to the east on Thursday, with clearing (of partly to mostly cloudy skies) and cool temperatures.

Friday through Sunday -> A high pressure ridge builds in across the west, while lower pressure remains and continues across the northern tier states (WA/ ID/ MT). We expect warmer temperatures and some west breezes, under mostly sunny skies (except for some high clouds mainly). CM

Thursday Sep 09, 2010 Hi 65°f / 18°c (base) Lo 38°f / 3°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Wind: WSW at up to 5 mph.	Friday Sep 10, 2010 Hi 68°f / 20°c (base) Lo 41°f / 5°c (base) Sky Condition: Clear Precipitation: None expected Wind: WSW at up to 5 mph.	Saturday Sep 11, 2010 Hi 68°f / 20°c (base) Lo 43°f / 6°c (base) Sky Condition: Clear Precipitation: None expected Wind: SW at up to 10 mph.
Sunday Sep 12, 2010 Hi 71°f / 22°c (base) Lo 43°f / 6°c (base) Sky Condition: Clear Precipitation: None expected Wind: SW at up to 10 mph.	Monday Sep 13, 2010 Hi 69°f / 21°c (base) Lo 42°f / 6°c (base) Sky Condition: Clear Precipitation: None expected Wind: SW at up to 10 mph.	Tuesday Sep 14, 2010 Hi 69°f / 21°c (base) Lo 43°f / 6°c (base) Sky Condition: Clear Precipitation: None expected Wind: SW at up to 10 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...September 13 to 16

~High pressure ridging holds for most of next week, with warm temperatures (just above average) and mostly light breezes. After the 15th (late next week), we see more strong low pressure developing across the northwest US from out of the Gulf of Alaska, so we will watch for possible surprises from this system.

There is a strengthening La Nina SST pattern that is expected to remain for the coming fall/ winter, through possibly the season following (through 2012). This could go either way for northern California resorts, with the Northwest US in general usually receiving above average rain and snow. We will work up some comparisons of previous La Nina years this summer, in preparation for the upcoming season. Please watch our Facebook page (and "fan us" if you like) for announcements and info; http://www.facebook.com/snowforecast.com. CM