Gunstock Ski Area (Base: 900', Top: 2,300')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, February 6, 2012
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OVERALL SITUATION--A continued northwest flow keeps the region cold but mainly dry--only occassional weak and moisture-lacking fronts dropping in and only light chances of snow showers. We stay chilled down enough to keep it all snow showers though. Upper level troughing to our north amplifies a bit this weekend and we'll be watching some moisture from the south approach--a more favorable setup for a storm but it may be too far offshore--will watch closely.
Today and Tuesday--Continued surface high pressure today keeps us dry and cool--west breezes pick up as we watch late day clouds and overnight snow showers from an approaching cold front for northern resorts. A reinforcing surge of cold air (cold front) arrives early Tuesday with a light round of snow showers (limited moisture again) and colder temps--minimal accumulations for northern resorts mainly (Bretton Woods/Cannon/Attitash/Wildcat/Black)--clearing overnight.
Wednesday and Thursday--High pressure once again (dry and sunny) thru midweek as a weak upper level disturbance skims by to our south. A touch warmer Thurs with dry westerly breezes.
Friday and Saturday--Another cold front (limited moisture again) drops in from the northwest Friday--some light snow showers and minor accumulations. Watching some moisture from the south Saturday--looking like an offshore track but will watch closely--CT
Tuesday Feb 07, 2012
Hi 34°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 11°f / -12°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mainly cloudy AM with isolated AM snow showers tapering off--lighter but chillier northwest breezes
Precipitation:
20-30% chance of isolated AM snow showers/flurries
Snow Potential
Additional ccumulations not expected
Wind:
W-NW base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds 20-25mph
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Wednesday Feb 08, 2012
Hi 36°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
More high pressure--mainly sunny and dry with steady cool temps
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...summit breezes 15-20mph
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Thursday Feb 09, 2012
Hi 36°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 24°f / -4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mainly sunny and dry conditions holding--a bit warmer with west breezes picking up
Precipitation:
Mainly dry
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
W base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds 25-30mph
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Friday Feb 10, 2012
Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 16°f / -9°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mainly sunny AM--increasing winds and PM clouds--overnight snow showers
Precipitation:
Dry during the day--30-40% chance of scattered snow showers overnight
Snow Potential
Trace to an inch or two overnight possible
Wind:
W-SW base winds 10-20mph...summit winds 30-35mph
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Saturday Feb 11, 2012
Hi 24°f / -4°c (base)
Lo 10°f / -12°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Lingering clouds and a few snow showers--turning colder
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of residual light snow showers
Snow Potential
An additional trace to a couple of inches possible
Wind:
NW base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds W-NW 20-30mph (windchills)
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Sunday Feb 12, 2012
Hi 26°f / -3°c (base)
Lo 16°f / -9°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
NW at up to 10 mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...February 12 to 16
Upper troughing to our north from the weekend may start to lift northward and allow more high pressure ridging over us through later next week. That would diminish our storm chances and warm us up a bit more. We could also be seeing upper troughing setting up through the west and pulling in more storms from the west. Storms would be weakened and not as cold (mixing again)--CT
