Jay Peak (Base: 1,815', Top: 3,968')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Saturday, May 10, 2008OVERALL SITUATION--TODAY--We'll be clearing out to drier conditions through most of the weekend as surface low pressure spins away from us out to sea and upper level low pressure stays just off to our north. We're looking for gradual improvement through the rest of the day as a brief and weak ridge of high pressure slides through in between disturbances--maybe a bit damp for an early hike but we'll dry out. Northeasterly breezes will be diminishing as temperatures remain steady.
SUNDAY--We'll be watching a much stronger storm system out west start to head our way. Clouds build back in and cooler temperatures may drop back in on us as well. Depending on timing, showers should hold off til overnight so we'll keep an eye on that as well.
MONDAY--The next storm pulls through as is drops in from west with rainy, breezy and cool conditions. The heaviest rain will likely cover southern resorts and it may just stall out offshore with lingering effects into Tuesday.
TUESDAY--Still cool and showery with easterly breezes as low pressure hangs around for another day.
WEDNESDAY--High pressure aloft squeezes in to dry us out briefly with more sunshine and drier, milder conditions.
THURSDAY--Dry conditions should hold out for one more day as we watch a stronger storm out west start to approach. This will likely bring us some clouds later on before things go downhill again for week's end--CT
Sunday May 11, 2008
Hi 67°f / 19°c (base)
Lo 36°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Watching developing storm out west--partly sunny overall with dry conditions holding out--more cloudiness late in the day with showers moving in overnight
Precipitation:
20-30% chance of late day rain showers developing
Snow Potential
Wind:
Ligther N breezes 5-10mph at the base...15-20mph up top
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Monday May 12, 2008
Hi 63°f / 17°c (base)
Lo 36°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Stormy, wet and cool with periods of heavier rain and shifting breezes
Precipitation:
60-70% chance of steadier, heavier rainfall
Snow Potential
Wind:
Mainly E breezes at 10-15mph at the base...20-30mph up top
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Tuesday May 13, 2008
Hi 63°f / 17°c (base)
Lo 36°f / 2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Clouds remain along with cool temperatures and lighter scattered rain showers
Precipitation:
Still around 50% chance of lingering scattered rain showers
Snow Potential
Wind:
E breezes continue at 10-15mph at the base with higher gusts...summit winds 25-35mph with higher gusts
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Wednesday May 14, 2008
Hi 62°f / 17°c (base)
Lo 38°f / 3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Clouds clear to more sunshine and drier conditions--breezes lighten up as temperatures warm up a bit
Precipitation:
None expected for now
Snow Potential
Wind:
Breezes still N-NE but lighter at 5-10mph at the base...summit breezes at 20-30mph
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Thursday May 15, 2008
Hi 60°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 39°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Dry conditions holding out but with increasing clouds--a few late day showers possible but mainly overnight and into Fri
Precipitation:
20% chance of a few late day showers--more overnight and into Fri
Snow Potential
Wind:
Light and variable breezes at 5-15mph
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Friday May 16, 2008
Hi 56°f / 13°c (base)
Lo 39°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Rain Showers
Precipitation:
50% Chance of rain showers
Snow Potential
Wind:
SSE at up to 10 mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...May 16 to 19A large scale and rather strong upper level trough sets up shop over the region for next weekend with more unsettled conditions--cool/cold and rainy at times. This could stick around into the following week as well--we'll be watching--CT
