6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, March 22, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-At 6,230 feet (Tahoe City); Low 24, High 45 (Highest ~ 65 in 2004, Lowest ~ 02 in 1952)
-At 8,000 feet (About the base elevation of Kirkwood, "Twin Lakes"); Low 18, High 43

:::COOLER, BUT STILL MILD:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR MONDAY, MARCH 21st at 7:55pm...(Sunday evening)...Monday -> A low pressure system that moved in up north drops southeast and clips the Tahoe area, but breezes decrease through the day and temperatures look mild under mostly sunny skies.

Tuesday -> A high pressure ridge aloft builds in, for mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures, along with light breezes.

Wednesday -> On Wednesday we have an approaching storm, with increasing winds and clouds. Temperatures continue milder. A cold front moves through overnight, with the bulk of this storm moving into Oregon and Washington. There is a chance for very light snow showers overnight.

Thursday -> The same storm that moves into the Pacific Northwest brushes Tahoe, with clouds and isolated snow showers on Thursday, and maybe some light accumulation Thursday night. We may have the jet stream close by for added help in generating snowfall, but not much is expected at this point.

Friday and Saturday -> One storm moves out early Friday, with a mostly sunny and milder day. A storm approaches mainly areas to the north on Saturday, but during the day we see mostly sunny skies again. This portion of the forecast is low confidence, so we will update today if we see any changes.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Sunday Mar 21, 2010 Hi 51°f / 11°c (base) Lo 22°f / -6°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: SW at up to 20 mph.	Monday Mar 22, 2010 Hi 49°f / 9°c (base) Lo 20°f / -7°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: WSW at up to 10 mph.	Tuesday Mar 23, 2010 Hi 46°f / 8°c (base) Lo 20°f / -7°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: NE at up to 10 mph.
Wednesday Mar 24, 2010 Hi 53°f / 12°c (base) Lo 25°f / -4°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: SW at up to 5 mph.	Thursday Mar 25, 2010 Hi 51°f / 11°c (base) Lo 23°f / -5°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: SW at up to 10 mph.	Friday Mar 26, 2010 Hi 47°f / 8°c (base) Lo 21°f / -6°c (base) Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: SW at up to 10 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 28 to 31

--Sunday and next Monday (28th/ 29th) we may see high pressure, but later next Monday stronger Pacific low pressure approaches. By next Tuesday and Wednesday we may see moderate to heavy snow as this storm passes through. Storms moving through the area into mid April may mostly target northern California through the Northwest US. This would mean we see mostly moderate or possibly heavy snow with each storm in April. This may be in part due to the following; The El Nino pattern is weakening, and many are talking about a La Nina sea surface temperature event for the next season. It is never cut and dry in the world of weather! We will watch and update as we get closer. CM