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Mount Snow (Base: 1,900', Top: 3,600')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Friday, February 3, 2012

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OVERALL SITUATION--A dry northerly flow sets up for the rest of this week and weekend.  Cold temps return as well to freeze/ice things back up (frozen/loose granular) but it helps out with more snowmaking (a good snowmaking window through the weekend!).  A storm track too far from the north is very dry so only occassional chances of snow showers are likely.  This also blocks incoming storms from the west--the late weekend chance may be stiffled a bit too much.  Continued cold and dry early next week.   

Today thru Sunday--*Cold, Dry Stretch*  The pattern starts to reconfigure a bit--one storm scoots by to our south out to sea today.  A light batch of snow showers drifts in from the north overnight but accumulations will be minimal at best.  Surface high pressure through central Canada tries to edge in a bit with a dry flow for us on Saturday--the sunniest of the weekend days with light northerly breezes (very little summit windchills).  Watching a cut-off low drifting in from the west on Sunday--tricky timing.  It will likely get deflected just to our south by a reinforcing cold front from the north.  Light snow showers are possible during the day (northern resorts) but accumulations will be very minor if any--keeping the forecast dry for most areas and chilly for now but watching closely.

Monday and Tuesday--Continued surface high pressure into Monday keeps us dry and chilly--watching late day clouds and overnight snow showers for northern resorts.  A reinforcing surge of cold air (cold front) arrives early Tuesday with a light round of snow showers (limited moisture again) followed by surface high pressure and sunshine on Wednesday--CT



 
Friday
Feb 03, 2012

Calm, dry and chilly with northwesterly breezes--a few light snow showers/flurries overnight

Hi 31°f / -1°c (base)
Lo 14°f / -10°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Calm, dry and chilly with northwesterly breezes--a few light snow showers/flurries overnight

Precipitation:
Dry during the day--20-30 chance of mainly light snow showers/flurries overnight

Snow Potential
A dusting possible overnight

Wind:
W-NW base breezes 5-15mph...summit winds 20-25mph

Saturday
Feb 04, 2012

Still fairly quiet and dry--partly to mainly sunny, dry, and cold

Hi 28°f / -2°c (base)
Lo 10°f / -12°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Still fairly quiet and dry--partly to mainly sunny, dry, and cold

Precipitation:
Looking dry still

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
Light W-NW base breezes 5-10mph...summit winds 20-30mph

Sunday
Feb 05, 2012

Cold front drops in--partly to mostly cloudy with isolated to scattered snow showers (still watching storm missing just south)

Hi 28°f / -2°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Cold front drops in--partly to mostly cloudy with isolated to scattered snow showers (still watching storm missing just south)

Precipitation:
30-40% chance of mainly light isolated/scattered snow showers

Snow Potential
A dusting to an inch possible

Wind:
W-NW base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds more N-NW 20-30mph

Monday
Feb 06, 2012

In between cold fronts--mainly dry and partly to mostly sunny

Hi 36°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
In between cold fronts--mainly dry and partly to mostly sunny

Precipitation:
Dry for now

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
NW base breezes around 10mph...20-30mph summit winds

Tuesday
Feb 07, 2012

Approaching cold front--partly cloudy with some PM snow showers possible (timing may change)

Hi 26°f / -3°c (base)
Lo 9°f / -13°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Approaching cold front--partly cloudy with some PM snow showers possible (timing may change)

Precipitation:
30-40% chance of late day snow showers

Snow Potential
Light accumulations again possible--dusting to a few inches for now

Wind:
W-NW base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds 20-25mph

Wednesday
Feb 08, 2012

More high pressure--mainly sunny and still dry

Hi 26°f / -3°c (base)
Lo 18°f / -8°c (base)

Sky Condition:
More high pressure--mainly sunny and still dry

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...summit breezes 15-20mph

Long range forecast / discussion...February 09 to 13

We've been close to getting some storms but all the pieces just haven't been there.  We still expect upper level troughing to linger just to our north.  This helps keep us seasonably cold but the storm track just a little too dry and deflecting potential storms out to sea.  We could see some moisture from the south sneak in later next week which would help form a decent coastal storm if the timing is right--we'll be watching closely.  Until then, mostly dry and chilly--CT

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