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Mt. Baker Ski Area (Base: 3,750', Top: 5,250')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Sunday, June 21, 2009

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Here is the latest from the NWS until we ramp operations again this fall--we'll have much more detailed and customized discussions and forecasts then...

REGIONAL DISCUSSION;

--> A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH EMBEDDED IMPULSES WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS/INTERMOUNTAIN REGION, AND PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH MONDAY. THERE IS SOME SNOW IN THE FORECAST FOR THE CASCADES, MAINLY ABOVE 4,000 FEET, WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OVER A FOOT POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE FAVORED LOCATIONS LIKE MT BAKER.

--> TEMPERATURES BENEATH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE BELOW, TO MUCH BELOW AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR THROUGH MONDAY.

WASHINGTON SPECIFIC, AND LONGER RANGE;

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO WESTERN WASHINGTON 
TODAY AND TONIGHT. STRONG ONSHORE FLOW TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE A MOSTLY CLOUDY MONDAY
WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER AND
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY...
FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE OF SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AND CONTINUING ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING DRY WEATHER AND NORMAL TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Saturday
Jul 04, 2009

Mostly Sunny

Hi 70°f / 21°c (base)
Lo 58°f / 14°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
SE at up to 5 mph.

Sunday
Jul 05, 2009

Partly Cloudy

Hi 61°f / 16°c (base)
Lo 42°f / 6°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential

Wind:
SSE at up to 5 mph.

Monday
Jul 06, 2009

Chance of Light Rain Showers

Hi 52°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 37°f / 3°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Rain Showers

Precipitation:
30% Chance of rain showers (0.508 mm. | 0.02 in.)

Snow Potential

Wind:
SW at up to 10 mph.

Tuesday
Jul 07, 2009

Chance of Light Rain Showers

Hi 45°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 39°f / 4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Rain Showers

Precipitation:
30% Chance of rain showers

Snow Potential

Wind:
S at up to 5 mph.

Wednesday
Jul 08, 2009

Chance of Light Rain Showers

Hi 49°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Rain Showers

Precipitation:
30% Chance of rain showers

Snow Potential

Wind:
S at up to 5 mph.

Thursday
Jul 09, 2009

Chance of Light Rain Showers

Hi 51°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Rain Showers

Precipitation:
30% Chance of rain showers

Snow Potential

Wind:
W at up to 5 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...June 21 to August 31

For those who want to know, it looks like an El Nino SST pattern is developing and strengthening. We would expect more moisture for thunderstorms and showers this summer, and Pacific Hurricane activity with this development. We do not think this will be a dry summer compared to average, in fact it may be a bit wet. CM



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