Park City Mountain Resort (Base: 6,900', Top: 10,000')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Friday, November 20, 2009All of us at Snowforecast.com thank you for your support this season! We wouldn't have been able to do this without your viewership. Our reputation for customized, skier/boarder friendly forecasts is growing but we still need to get the word out to keep us going for next season. Please contact your favorite resort and put in a good word for us!
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 6,500 feet (Park City~base); Low 18, High 45
-At 8,500 feet (Alta~base); Low 19, High 37
-At 10,500 feet (The top elevation of some resorts); Low 11, High 29
SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 20th at 7:20am...Today -> Temperatures "warm up" some with a more southwest flow of winds due to an approaching storm, that looks like it will provide a decent shot of new snow. We expect mostly sunny skies.
Saturday -> The first storm system moves in off the Pacific for Saturday, with light and scattered snow showers expected to occur. This first storm is packing some decent west winds and very limited moisture, plus a little bit of upper level instability. This equates to light snow as far as we can tell.
Sunday and Monday -> The 2nd storm moves through mainly to the north, with a stronger cross mountain flow from the west and northwest of about 15 to 25 knots. There should be a 100+ knot jet stream overhead, decent upper level instability outside of the jet, but still limited moisture, for another shot of snow for the area resorts. Orographics look good (wind and upsloping of any moisture), moisture does not. We will hope that the orographics overcome the lack of good moisture (and this has been the case at times in the past). Accumulating snow starts up on Sunday, and continues through Monday morning. Clouds and snow clear out on Monday. Temperatures look colder on Monday.
Tuesday -> Another fast moving storm system moves through, clipping the area with light snowfall. Some clouds and cool temperatures are expected elsewhere.
Wednesday and Thursday (Thanksgiving) -> High pressure ridging aloft noses in for Wednesday and Thanksgiving, with mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures. Dewpoints remain low, and large swings are expected between daytime highs and nighttime lows.
Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM
Saturday Nov 21, 2009
Hi 27°f / -3°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Light Snow
Precipitation:
Snow likely (60%) - Snow Potential: (3.81 cm. | 1.5 in.)
Snow Potential
Expecting 1.5 inches
Wind:
WSW at up to 10 mph.
|
Sunday Nov 22, 2009
Hi 27°f / -3°c (base)
Lo 12°f / -11°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Light Snow Likely
Precipitation:
Snow likely (70%) - Snow Potential: (6.096 cm. | 2.4 in.)
Snow Potential
Expecting 2.4 inches
Wind:
WSW at up to 20 mph.
|
Monday Nov 23, 2009
Hi 18°f / -8°c (base)
Lo 9°f / -13°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow
Snow Potential
Wind:
NNW at up to 10 mph.
|
Tuesday Nov 24, 2009
Hi 35°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 17°f / -8°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
N at up to 10 mph.
|
Wednesday Nov 25, 2009
Hi 46°f / 8°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
WSW at up to 10 mph.
|
Thursday Nov 26, 2009
Hi 49°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 27°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
SW at up to 10 mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...November 26 to 29--Thanksgiving weekend we see another low pressure system moving in with more snow for the region (we would say moderate snowfall for now, under 1 foot and maybe in the 2 to 4 inches category for most areas). We see a couple of days break followed by another storm in early December.
--WINTER OUTLOOK; This winter we expect near average snowfall for northern Utah including Alta. For southern Utah including Brian Head, we expect above average snowfall. Most of the heavier snowfall does not arrive until after the 1st of January, but we do expect some significant storms this month and also in December. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average across northern Utah and near average for southern Utah, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM
