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Pico Mountain (Base: 2,000', Top: 3,967')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, February 7, 2012

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OVERALL SITUATION--A continued northwest flow keeps the region cold but mainly dry--only occassional weak and moisture-lacking fronts dropping in and only light chances of snow showers (northern resorts mainly).  We stay chilled down enough to keep it all snow showers though.  Mainly dry with high pressure through midweek before another cold front chills us back down this weekend.   

Today--A reinforcing surge of cold air (cold front) arrives early today with low clouds, a light round of snow showers (limited moisture again), and colder temps--minimal accumulations for northern resorts mainly (Jay/Burke/Bolton/Smuggs/Stowe)--clearing late PM/overnight under light northwesterly breezes.  

Wednesday and Thursday--Dry and Mainly Sunny--High pressure once again (dry and sunny) thru midweek as a weak upper level disturbance skims by to our south.  A touch warmer Thurs with dry westerly breezes. 

Friday thru Sunday--Cold Weekend--Dry Friday before another cold front (limited moisture again) drops in from the northwest overnight--light snow showers and only minor accumulations overnight/early Saturday--gusty winds and clearing to colder temps.   Watching offshore moisture/disturbance but so far not a factor.  Otherwise, still cold and dry into Sunday with diminishing northwesterly winds--CT



 
Tuesday
Feb 07, 2012

Fairly cloudy AM with scattered AM snow showers tapering off--lighter but chillier northwest breezes

Hi 33°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 6°f / -14°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Fairly cloudy AM with scattered AM snow showers tapering off--lighter but chillier northwest breezes

Precipitation:
30-40% chance of mainly light AM snow/showers gradually easing

Snow Potential
Light accumulations again possible--dusting to an inch or so

Wind:
W-NW base breezes 5-10mph...summit winds 15-20mph

Wednesday
Feb 08, 2012

More high pressure--mainly sunny and dry with steady cool temps

Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 15°f / -9°c (base)

Sky Condition:
More high pressure--mainly sunny and dry with steady cool temps

Precipitation:
None expected

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...summit breezes 15-20mph

Thursday
Feb 09, 2012

Mainly sunny and dry conditions holding--a bit warmer with west breezes picking up

Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 20°f / -7°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mainly sunny and dry conditions holding--a bit warmer with west breezes picking up

Precipitation:
Mainly dry

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
W base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds 25-30mph

Friday
Feb 10, 2012

Mainly sunny AM--increasing winds and PM clouds--overnight snow showers

Hi 31°f / -1°c (base)
Lo 5°f / -15°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Mainly sunny AM--increasing winds and PM clouds--overnight snow showers

Precipitation:
Dry during the day--30-40% chance of scattered snow showers overnight

Snow Potential
Trace to a few inches overnight possible

Wind:
W-SW base winds 10-20mph...summit winds 30-35mph

Saturday
Feb 11, 2012

Lingering clouds and a few snow showers--turning colder with windchills (summit esp)

Hi 22°f / -6°c (base)
Lo 2°f / -17°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Lingering clouds and a few snow showers--turning colder with windchills (summit esp)

Precipitation:
30-40% chance of residual light snow showers

Snow Potential
An additional trace to a couple of inches possible

Wind:
NW base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds W-NW 20-30mph (windchills)

Sunday
Feb 12, 2012

Partly to mostly sunny and cold with diminishing winds

Hi 19°f / -7°c (base)
Lo -1°f / -18°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly sunny and cold with diminishing winds

Precipitation:
Looking dry for now

Snow Potential
None expected

Wind:
NW base breezes 5-10mph...summit winds 20-25mph (summit windchills)

Long range forecast / discussion...February 13 to 17

Upper troughing to our north from the weekend may start to lift northward and allow more high pressure ridging over us through later next week.  That would diminish our storm chances and warm us up a bit more.  We could also be seeing upper troughing setting up through the west and pulling in more storms from the west.  Storms would be weakened and not as cold (mixing again)--CT  

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