Pico Mountain (Base: 2,000', Top: 3,967')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, February 7, 2012
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OVERALL SITUATION--A continued northwest flow keeps the region cold but mainly dry--only occassional weak and moisture-lacking fronts dropping in and only light chances of snow showers (northern resorts mainly). We stay chilled down enough to keep it all snow showers though. Mainly dry with high pressure through midweek before another cold front chills us back down this weekend.
Today--A reinforcing surge of cold air (cold front) arrives early today with low clouds, a light round of snow showers (limited moisture again), and colder temps--minimal accumulations for northern resorts mainly (Jay/Burke/Bolton/Smuggs/Stowe)--clearing late PM/overnight under light northwesterly breezes.
Wednesday and Thursday--Dry and Mainly Sunny--High pressure once again (dry and sunny) thru midweek as a weak upper level disturbance skims by to our south. A touch warmer Thurs with dry westerly breezes.
Friday thru Sunday--Cold Weekend--Dry Friday before another cold front (limited moisture again) drops in from the northwest overnight--light snow showers and only minor accumulations overnight/early Saturday--gusty winds and clearing to colder temps. Watching offshore moisture/disturbance but so far not a factor. Otherwise, still cold and dry into Sunday with diminishing northwesterly winds--CT
Tuesday Feb 07, 2012
Hi 33°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 6°f / -14°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Fairly cloudy AM with scattered AM snow showers tapering off--lighter but chillier northwest breezes
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of mainly light AM snow/showers gradually easing
Snow Potential
Light accumulations again possible--dusting to an inch or so
Wind:
W-NW base breezes 5-10mph...summit winds 15-20mph
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Wednesday Feb 08, 2012
Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 15°f / -9°c (base)
Sky Condition:
More high pressure--mainly sunny and dry with steady cool temps
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
Light and variable base breezes...summit breezes 15-20mph
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Thursday Feb 09, 2012
Hi 37°f / 3°c (base)
Lo 20°f / -7°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mainly sunny and dry conditions holding--a bit warmer with west breezes picking up
Precipitation:
Mainly dry
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
W base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds 25-30mph
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Friday Feb 10, 2012
Hi 31°f / -1°c (base)
Lo 5°f / -15°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mainly sunny AM--increasing winds and PM clouds--overnight snow showers
Precipitation:
Dry during the day--30-40% chance of scattered snow showers overnight
Snow Potential
Trace to a few inches overnight possible
Wind:
W-SW base winds 10-20mph...summit winds 30-35mph
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Saturday Feb 11, 2012
Hi 22°f / -6°c (base)
Lo 2°f / -17°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Lingering clouds and a few snow showers--turning colder with windchills (summit esp)
Precipitation:
30-40% chance of residual light snow showers
Snow Potential
An additional trace to a couple of inches possible
Wind:
NW base breezes 10-15mph...summit winds W-NW 20-30mph (windchills)
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Sunday Feb 12, 2012
Hi 19°f / -7°c (base)
Lo -1°f / -18°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly sunny and cold with diminishing winds
Precipitation:
Looking dry for now
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind:
NW base breezes 5-10mph...summit winds 20-25mph (summit windchills)
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Long range forecast / discussion...February 13 to 17
Upper troughing to our north from the weekend may start to lift northward and allow more high pressure ridging over us through later next week. That would diminish our storm chances and warm us up a bit more. We could also be seeing upper troughing setting up through the west and pulling in more storms from the west. Storms would be weakened and not as cold (mixing again)--CT
