Plumas-Eureka Ski Bowl (Base: 5,100', Top: 6,300')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, February 7, 2012
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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 6,230 feet (Tahoe City); Low 18, High 39 (Highest ~ 54 on February 01, 1995, Lowest ~ -04 on January 30, in 1933)
::: COOLER + LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION TODAY/ MOSTLY SUNNY WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY :::
DETAILED SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 7th...Today --CHANCE FOR SNOW-- -> A low pressure system moves in off of the Pacific, and is on a southward path as moisture enters the area from the southwest. What this does is take the eastward push of winds (for orographic lifting) and makes it a mostly weak northward push of air. We expect some help from instability aloft, but not much. Light snow is then expected, off and on today and mostly ending tonight as this low moves south toward Baja CA.
Wednesday through Friday --BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY-- -> Low pressure moves south with mostly sunny skies on Wednesday, then more sun Thursday and Friday. A low pressure system (not strong) will approach on the coastline on Friday. CM
Tuesday Feb 07, 2012
Hi 48°f / 9°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Isolated Light Snow Showers
Precipitation:
Snow likely (60%) - Snow Potential:
(1 to 2 cm. | 0 to 1 in.)
Snow Potential
Expecting 0 to 1 inches of snowfall
Wind:
E at up to 5 mph.
|
Wednesday Feb 08, 2012
Hi 52°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
ENE at up to 10 mph.
|
Thursday Feb 09, 2012
Hi 52°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 32°f / 0°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
E at up to 10 mph.
|
Friday Feb 10, 2012
Hi 54°f / 12°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
ESE at up to 5 mph.
|
Saturday Feb 11, 2012
Hi 46°f / 8°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
ENE at up to 5 mph.
|
Sunday Feb 12, 2012
Hi 45°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 29°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow
Wind:
E at up to 5 mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...February 13 to 16
--Overall, high pressure ridging aloft across the west holds until mid February. Despite this ridge, a low pressure system moves in Saturday and again late Sunday/ Monday with a chance for snow. We would expect light snow ( < 4") from these systems, unless they move through further south, and in that case we could see more. High pressure ridges back in after this system, holding across the western US. We are watching for better potential snow as we move into the 2nd half of February.
We have a moderate La Nina SST pattern in place through the winter period, weakening now and through the spring, into the summer. CM
