Ski Apache (Base: 9,600', Top: 11,500')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Saturday, July 31, 2010Our reputation for customized, skier/boarder friendly forecasts is growing but we still need to get the word out to keep us going for next season. Please contact your favorite resort and put in a good word for us!
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::: MORE SOAKING SHOWERS/ THUNDERSTORMS :::
SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR SATURDAY, JULY 31st...Today -> A lot of moisture, rains, thunderstorms; A subtropical plume of moisture continues to stream across the area (but mostly focused just to the northwest). We expect another round of scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon, with near average temperatures. Heavy showers are possible, with slow moving storms allowing storm cells to concentrate on areas where they form.
Sunday and Monday -> Decreased moisture, less chance for heavy rain, more isolated thunderstorms; On Sunday and Monday the plume of moisture shifts westward some, with conditional instability generated from daytime heating. Thunderstorm activity and coverage should decrease to isolated.
Tuesday through Thursday -> Isolated thunderstorms; High pressure which has been centered to the southeast starts to build in and shift westward. This cuts off more of the moisture that has been feeding in across the area. Due to this we expect afternoon thunderstorms and potential showers to continue isolated, and temperatures are expected to rise.
Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM
Sunday Aug 01, 2010
Hi 81°f / 27°c (base)
Lo 52°f / 11°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms
Precipitation:
30% Chance of rain showers (1.27 mm. | 0.05 in.)
Wind:
S at up to 15 mph.
|
Monday Aug 02, 2010
Hi 83°f / 28°c (base)
Lo 54°f / 12°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of rain showers (1.016 mm. | 0.04 in.)
Wind:
SW at up to 10 mph.
|
Tuesday Aug 03, 2010
Hi 83°f / 28°c (base)
Lo 56°f / 13°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of rain showers (0.762 mm. | 0.03 in.)
Wind:
SW at up to 5 mph.
|
Wednesday Aug 04, 2010
Hi 82°f / 28°c (base)
Lo 56°f / 13°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of rain showers
Wind:
WSW at up to 5 mph.
|
Thursday Aug 05, 2010
Hi 82°f / 28°c (base)
Lo 55°f / 13°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of rain showers
Wind:
S at up to 5 mph.
|
Friday Aug 06, 2010
Hi 82°f / 28°c (base)
Lo 55°f / 13°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of rain showers
Wind:
SW at up to 5 mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...August 05 to 08--Late next week and weekend we see some classic August weather, including some thunderstorms (mostly isolated) and warmer (very warm) temperatures, otherwise mostly sunny/ partly cloudy skies through about the 10th or so.
The El Nino SST pattern is now neutral, and a La Nina SST pattern will likely take over for the coming fall/ winter, through possibly the season following (through 2012). We will work on some snowfall comparisons for similar La Nina years as we get closer. CM
