Ski Apache (Base: 9,600', Top: 11,500')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Friday, November 20, 2009PLEASE NOTE: The temperatures shown for "base" (if "base/ top" is not displayed) are more of a mid mountain temperature forecast. In season (October through April) we are back to forecasting base and top temperatures plus more detail for our partner resorts like Taos Ski Valley (http://www.snowforecast.com/TaosSkiValley).
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 8,500 feet (Red River): Low 13, High 44 (Highest ~ 65 in 1913, Lowest ~ (-)14 in 1957)
-At 9,500 feet (Base elevation for Taos Resort); Low 16, High 40
-At 12,000 feet (Near the top elevation of some resorts); Low 08, High 31
SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 20th at 6:56am..Today -> Temperatures "warm up" some with a southerly flow of winds due to an approaching storm, that looks like it will be a strong one. Increasing and lowering clouds are expected late day and overnight.
Saturday -> The first storm system moves in off the Pacific for Saturday, with just some clouds expected overnight. This first storm is packing some decent west winds but very limited moisture as it passes mostly to the north.
Sunday and Monday -> The 2nd storm moves through mainly to the north again. We expect limited upper level instability and limited moisture, for just some clouds mainly Sunday night and Monday morning. Temperatures look colder.
Tuesday -> Another fast moving weather disturbance moves through, with a few clouds and cool temperatures expected.
Wednesday and Thursday (Thanksgiving) -> High pressure ridging aloft noses in for Wednesday and Thanksgiving, with mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures. Dewpoints remain low, and large swings are expected between daytime highs and nighttime lows.
Saturday Nov 21, 2009
Hi 59°f / 15°c (base)
Lo 31°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
WSW at up to 15 mph.
|
Sunday Nov 22, 2009
Hi 57°f / 14°c (base)
Lo 30°f / -1°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
WSW at up to 15 mph.
|
Monday Nov 23, 2009
Hi 56°f / 13°c (base)
Lo 25°f / -4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
W at up to 15 mph.
|
Tuesday Nov 24, 2009
Hi 51°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 28°f / -2°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Clear
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
SSE at up to 5 mph.
|
Wednesday Nov 25, 2009
Hi 54°f / 12°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly Sunny
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
NE at up to 10 mph.
|
Thursday Nov 26, 2009
Hi 51°f / 11°c (base)
Lo 26°f / -3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation:
None expected
Snow Potential
Wind:
WSW at up to 5 mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...November 26 to 29--Thanksgiving weekend we see another low pressure system moving in with some possible snow for the region (we would say light snowfall, maybe in the 2 inch category, and a "slight chance" for now). We see a couple of days break followed by another storm in early December. December, at least early December, is looking more unsettled than November (more potential storms, which would be pretty usual as we move into December).
This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for northern New Mexico, and temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM
