6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Thursday, February 9, 2012

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::: LIGHT SNOW TODAY/ PARTLY CLOUDY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A SLOW WARMING TREND/ SNOWFALL SUNDAY AND MONDAY (MORE DETAILS COMING TODAY) :::

DETAILED SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 9th...Today --CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOW-- ->  Clouds increase and we have light snow showers as moisture increases, and we are under an unsettled northwest flow aloft on the east side of a high pressure ridge. At the same time, low pressure deepens across the upper Midwest/ Great Lakes. We expect light snow accumulation.

Friday and Saturday --PARTLY CLOUDY, SLOW WARMING-- ->  High pressure ridging is expected across the area, with some warming expected each day. A storm is expected to approach Saturday night, with light snow developing mainly by Sunday morning.

Sunday and Monday --LIGHT SNOW-- -> Colder temperatures and mostly light snow are expected each day due to 2 upper-level weather disturbances passing through. The second storm may be a bit stronger, with more snowfall on Monday than on Sunday. CM

 

Thursday Feb 09, 2012 Hi 45°f / 7°c (base) Lo 23°f / -5°c (base) Sky Condition: Scattered Light Snow Showers Precipitation: 50% Chance of snow Wind: NNW at up to 5 mph.	Friday Feb 10, 2012 Hi 46°f / 8°c (base) Lo 26°f / -3°c (base) Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Precipitation: None expected Wind: W at up to 10 mph.	Saturday Feb 11, 2012 Hi 46°f / 8°c (base) Lo 28°f / -2°c (base) Sky Condition: Mostly Sunny Precipitation: None expected Wind: SE at up to 10 mph.
Sunday Feb 12, 2012 Hi 43°f / 6°c (base) Lo 26°f / -3°c (base) Sky Condition: Chance of Light Rain Showers Precipitation: 40% Chance of rain showers Wind: W at up to 10 mph.	Monday Feb 13, 2012 Hi 45°f / 7°c (base) Lo 27°f / -3°c (base) Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Precipitation: None expected Wind: WSW at up to 15 mph.	Tuesday Feb 14, 2012 Hi 45°f / 7°c (base) Lo 23°f / -5°c (base) Sky Condition: Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers Precipitation: Slight Chance (20%) of snow Wind: WNW at up to 15 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...February 15 to 18

--We are watching for potentially more significant snow (better than "light") as we move into the 2nd half of February, with some of the computer model ensembles backing this up. Next Tuesday (14th) we have another shot at snow (probably light), then again next Thursday and Friday (16/ 17th) we may see more snowfall from another low pressure system. We will update when more info is available.

We have a moderate La Nina SST pattern in place through the winter, starting to weaken now, and expected to weaken into summer 2012. We expect increased storminess across the west in mid February as the pattern changes back to unsettled. CM