6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Thursday, March 18, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-At 6,800 feet (Big Bear Lake); Low 24, High 50 (Highest ~ 70 in 2007, Lowest ~ (-)8 in 1969)
-At 8,600+ feet (close to summit elevation); Low M, High 43

:::MILD, MOSTLY SUNNY:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR THURSDAY, MARCH 18th at 6:44am...Today and Friday -> A dry inside slider type system moves through, but not much cold air reaches the area. We may see some top to bottom snowmaking Friday morning mainly, then mild temperatures by afternoon. If this system were to move a bit further west of the projected path, the forecast would change significantly, and it may. We will watch.

Saturday and Sunday -> It looks like high pressure ridging aloft builds back in, with warm, spring-like temperatures again this weekend, under sunny skies.

Monday and Tuesday -> A Pacific low pressure system moves through with winds and cooler temperatures, plus some clouds and west winds. The chance for snow is slight, but we will be watching and hoping for something different.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Thursday Mar 18, 2010 Hi 56°f / 49°f (base/top) Lo 35°f / 34°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Partly cloudy and mild, with northwest winds. Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential None expected. Snow making potential; None at the base, limited up top. Wind: NW at 10 to 20mph.	Friday Mar 19, 2010 Hi 52°f / 45°f (base/top) Lo 33°f / 30°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Mostly clear and cooler, with northwest winds. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Snow making potential; Very limited at the base, limited up top. Wind: NW/ NE at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.	Saturday Mar 20, 2010 Hi 51°f / 44°f (base/top) Lo 32°f / 31°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Mostly clear and cooler, with dry north winds. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Snow making potential; Limited at the base, limited up top. Wind: N at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.
Sunday Mar 21, 2010 Hi 58°f / 53°f (base/top) Lo 32°f / 36°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Mostly clear and warm, with north breezes. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Snow making potential; Very limited at the base, none up top. Wind: N at 5 to 15mph.	Monday Mar 22, 2010 Hi 47°f / 42°f (base/top) Lo 32°f / 28°f (base/top) Sky Condition: Partly cloudy and becoming cooler, with increasing west winds. Precipitation: None expected. Snow Potential None expected. Snow making potential; Very limited at the base, limited up top. Wind: Increasing to SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.	Tuesday Mar 23, 2010 Hi 39°f / 4°c (base) Lo 26°f / -3°c (base) Sky Condition: Partly Cloudy Precipitation: None expected Snow Potential Wind: SW at up to 15 mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 23 to 26

--The last days of March, and April should be a good spring period for snow (and will be interesting) as the pattern remains unsettled a bit less than 1/2 of the time (potential snow), broken up by periods of high pressure ridging (mostly sunny and milder). One thing about an El Nino year, the spring showers usually carry on into May. Our El Nino pattern is weakening however, and many are talking about a La Nina sea surface temperature event for the next season. It is never cut and dry in the world of weather! We will watch and update as we get closer. CM