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Taos Ski Valley (Base: 9,207', Top: 11,819')

6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Monday, March 15, 2010

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AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;

-
At 8,500 feet (Red River): Low 15, High 45
(Highest ~ 65 in 2007, Lowest ~ (-)23 in 1962)
-At 9,200 feet (Near base elevation for Taos Resort); Low 16, High 41
-At 12,000 feet (Near the top elevation of some resorts); Low 07, High 31 

:::SNOW, THEN CLEARING:::

SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR MONDAY, MARCH 15th at 2:59am...Today -> SNOW, THEN CLEARING; Low pressure moves out during the day, with snow showers becoming much lighter and more spotty, mixed with sun. Skies become partly cloudy later today.

Tuesday and Wednesday -> PARTLY CLOUDY/ MOSTLY SUNNY; A high pressure ridge builds in from the west and south, with mostly sunny skies and milder temperatures. Not much wind is expected. Later Wednesday, low pressure drops into the northwest US, with high clouds increasing (the sun is usually just filtered through the high clouds, but still shining). Wednesday should be the warmest day.

Thurday and Friday -> SNOW DEVELOPING ON FRIDAY; A low pressure system moves in with a strong northwest oriented jet stream (not favorable for Taos Ski Valley), and increasing winds develop on Thursday. On Friday snow develops as the low pressure system and jet stream winds aloft help crank out some light snow. Moisture looks limited which is normal in this pattern, and most energy may be to the north this time.

Saturday and Sunday -> BREAK BETWEEN STORMS/ PARTLY CLOUDY; The pattern remains a bit unsettled as a strong large scale low pressure trough may be developing, with its axis roughly across the Rockies, and centered over Canada. This is what may kick off and extended period of frequent storms across Colorado, favoring northern resorts.

Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM

Monday
Mar 15, 2010

Isolated Light Snow Showers

Hi 44°f / 7°c (base)
Lo 9°f / -13°c (base)

Sky Condition:
Isolated Light Snow Showers

Precipitation:
50% Chance of snow - Snow Potential:
(1 to 2 cm. | 0 to 1 in.)

Snow Potential
Expecting 0 to 1 inches of snowfall

Wind:
NE at up to 10 mph.

Tuesday
Mar 16, 2010

Mostly clear and cool, with drier northerly breezes.

Hi 40°f / 25°f (base/top)
Lo 5°f / 11°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and cool, with drier northerly breezes.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
NW/ NE at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; NE at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.

Wednesday
Mar 17, 2010

Partly cloudy (some high clouds, increasing) and mild, with west winds developing above timberline mainly.

Hi 46°f / 30°f (base/top)
Lo 13°f / 22°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy (some high clouds, increasing) and mild, with west winds developing above timberline mainly.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
Variable at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; W at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.

Thursday
Mar 18, 2010

Partly cloudy, mild and windy.

Hi 44°f / 29°f (base/top)
Lo 23°f / 20°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy, mild and windy.

Precipitation:
None expected.

Snow Potential
None expected.

Wind:
W at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Winds above timberline; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 40mph.

Friday
Mar 19, 2010

Becoming cloudy and colder with developing mostly light snow showers. Winds increase.

Hi 38°f / 26°f (base/top)
Lo 25°f / 15°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Becoming cloudy and colder with developing mostly light snow showers. Winds increase.

Precipitation:
40% chance for snow.

Snow Potential
2 to 4 inches of snowfall.

Wind:
NW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 25 to 35 gusts to 45mph.

Saturday
Mar 20, 2010

Mostly cloudy with light snow early, clearing to partly cloudy during the day. Winds decrease.

Hi 44°f / 28°f (base/top)
Lo 20°f / 12°f (base/top)

Sky Condition:
Mostly cloudy with light snow early, clearing to partly cloudy during the day. Winds decrease.

Precipitation:
30% chance for snow early.

Snow Potential
A trace.

Wind:
W/ NW at 10 to 20mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.

Long range forecast / discussion...March 21 to 24

--Pacific storms start moving through with frequent snow through late March, as large scale low pressure develops across Canada and affects mainly the Rockies and northern plains states. The rest of March and most of April still look potentially snowy.

FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for northern New Mexico. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM



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