Taos Ski Valley (Base: 9,207', Top: 11,819')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Sunday, March 21, 2010*Taos Ski Valley is a sponsor of this forecast, please thank them if you get a chance*
We are doing some give aways this month. If you want a shot at them, please log in to Facebook. We appreciate your use of the site! Here is the link to our Facebook page (you need to cut and paste it);
http://www.facebook.com/snowforecast.com
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 8,500 feet (Red River): Low 18, High 47 (Highest ~ 65 in 2004, Lowest ~ (-)17 in 1927)-At 9,200 feet (Near base elevation for Taos Resort); Low 18, High 44-At 12,000 feet (Near the top elevation of some resorts); Low 10, High 34
:::Overall, next week looks busy with a mid week storm and a weekend storm:::
SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED FOR MONDAY, MARCH 20th at 6:49pm...(Sunday evening)...Today -> TRANSITION DAY, INCREASED WINDS; Monday is a transition day, with increasing ridge mostly top winds and some middle and high clouds moving in due to an approaching low pressure system out of the Northwest US. Partly cloudy skies are expected, becoming mostly cloudy later in the day, with increased west winds across the ridges. Temperatures look mild again.
Tuesday and Wednesday -> THE NEXT STORM MOVES IN/ MODERATE STORM TOTALS; A weakened storm moves in from the west/ northwest, with moderate snowfall (all totaled) and colder air moving in. The snowfall begins by Tuesday afternoon mainly, and continues through Wednesday evening. The system approaches, and starts carving southward as it does, across northern New Mexico by Wednesday morning. We expect a southwest flow aloft along with some jet stream dynamics, good moisture, but a cross mountain easterly flow, which is what may hinder snow totals some. Snow ends Wednesday evening.
Thursday -> PARTLY CLOUDY, ANOTHER STORM IN THE PIPELINE; Another storm moves into the Pacific Northwest while Colorado/ New Mexico sit under high pressure ridging aloft. Mild temperatures are expected during a mostly sunny spring-like afternoon (morning looks cold however).
Friday and Saturday -> ANOTHER STORM, MORE MODERATE SNOW; Clouds and wind increase on Friday with the next storm to approach the central and southern Rockies. We see plenty of sunshine on Friday, then skies cloud up in the evening, with developing snow showers later evening/ overnight. Snow continues through Saturday evening as this low pressure system moves through. The low may intensify as it cross the divide, causing a stronger and moist northwest flow across resort areas Friday night. For now, we will assume that this will not occur, as a lot can change between now and then. That being said, it looks like we should see another decent shot of snow.
Sunday -> CLEARING OUT TO A PARTLY CLOUDY DAY; Low pressure moves out, and partly cloudy/ mostly sunny skies are possible after some (possible) fresh snow the previous 2 days. Milder temperatures are expected.
Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM
Sunday Mar 21, 2010
Hi 46°f / 30°f (base/top)
Lo 5°f / 7°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and mild, with northwest breezes/ winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
NW at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 10 to 20mph.
|
Monday Mar 22, 2010
Hi 50°f / 35°f (base/top)
Lo 15°f / 22°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and milder with west winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
W at 10 to 20mph. Winds above timberline; W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.
|
Tuesday Mar 23, 2010
Hi 42°f / 28°f (base/top)
Lo 20°f / 14°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Becoming mostly cloudy and cooler with developing snow showers by afternoon, continuing through overnight. Noticeable west winds are expected.
Precipitation:
Snow likely by afternoon/ evening.
Snow Potential
3 to 4 inches of snowfall.
Wind:
W at 10 to 20mph. Winds above timberline; W at 20 to 30 gusts to 40mph
|
Wednesday Mar 24, 2010
Hi 29°f / 16°f (base/top)
Lo 18°f / 7°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Cloudy and colder with less wind and continuing snow showers.
Precipitation:
Snow likely.
Snow Potential
3 to 5 inches of additional snowfall.
Wind:
NE at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; W at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.
|
Thursday Mar 25, 2010
Hi 42°f / 27°f (base/top)
Lo 15°f / 11°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Clearing to partly cloudy and milder with northwest breezes/ winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
NW at 10 to 20mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.
|
Friday Mar 26, 2010
Hi 51°f / 35°f (base/top)
Lo 10°f / 19°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and becoming warm during the day. Clouds and winds increase late, with snow showers developing by evening/ overnight.
Precipitation:
50% chance for snow late.
Snow Potential
1 inch of snowfall overnight.
Wind:
Increasing to SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Winds above timberline; SW at 20 to 30 gusts to 50mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...March 27 to 30--It looks like winter made sure to leave more snow storms for spring. After a Monday - Wednesday (29th - 31st) break (partly cloudy/ mostly sunny, milder), we may see a late week storm, and another snow storm that weekend, for more snowfall during the first several days of April. Pacific storms (with snow) should move through at times right into mid April, to finish off the season.
FROM OCTOBER; This winter we expect heavier than average snowfall for northern New Mexico. Temperatures are expected to be colder than average overall, with wide variations and some extreme cold periods. CM
