Wolf Creek Ski Area (Base: 10,300', Top: 11,904')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Wednesday, July 1, 2009PLEASE NOTE: Please have a look at one of our sponsor resorts' forecasts for full detail, including base and top temperature forecasting; (Aspen / Beaver Creek / Breckenridge / Keystone / Vail / Winter Park ).
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR;
-At 8,000 feet (Aspen); Low 45, High 77
-At 9,000 to 9,500 feet (Breckenridge, Winter Park); Low 34, High 70
-At 12,500 to 13,000 feet (The top elevation of some resorts); Low 29, High 57
SUMMARY FOR THE NEXT 6 DAYS -//> UPDATED WEDNESDAY, JULY 1st at 7:30am...Today -> The air over Colorado is mostly dry, with lows this morning in the low-mid 30's in the 9,000+ ft elevation valleys, and low-mid 40's in the 8,000+ foot valleys, in general. Skies are mostly clear, becoming partly cloudy this afternoon with some isolated thunderstorms and showers developing. Temperatures look warm again. Monsoon moisture is increasing out of Mexico, and will start feeding into the central and southern Rockies, for more scattered (increased) thunderstorms and shower potential tomorrow and going into the weekend.
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Thursday through 4th of July weekend -> During this period we see a more moist southwest flow aloft, due to a high pressure ridge that is shifted slightly east of the previous position. Across the desert southwest, moisture and thunderstorms increase. This moisture starts seeping into Colorado and the Rocky Mountains, with a gradual increase in potential thunderstorms and showers across the area. Temperatures remain warm, near average. Saturday, the 4th of July, thunderstorms may be in the likely category.
Please submit any ideas or comments to chris@snowforecast.com. We appreciate your use of the site! CM
Thursday Jul 02, 2009
Hi 59°f / 15°c (base) Lo 42°f / 6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Thunderstorms
Precipitation:
40% Chance of rain showers (3.556 mm. | 0.14 in.)
Snow Potential
Wind:
SW at up to 10 mph.
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Friday Jul 03, 2009
Hi 64°f / 18°c (base) Lo 43°f / 6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Thunderstorms
Precipitation:
Rain Showers likely (60%) (5.08 mm. | 0.2 in.)
Snow Potential
Wind:
SW at up to 10 mph.
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Saturday Jul 04, 2009
Hi 64°f / 18°c (base) Lo 41°f / 5°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Thunderstorms
Precipitation:
40% Chance of rain showers (2.286 mm. | 0.09 in.)
Snow Potential
Wind:
WSW at up to 10 mph.
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Sunday Jul 05, 2009
Hi 58°f / 14°c (base) Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Thunderstorms
Precipitation:
40% Chance of rain showers
Snow Potential
Wind:
WSW at up to 10 mph.
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Monday Jul 06, 2009
Hi 55°f / 13°c (base) Lo 41°f / 5°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Thunderstorms
Precipitation:
30% Chance of rain showers
Snow Potential
Wind:
SW at up to 10 mph.
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Tuesday Jul 07, 2009
Hi 56°f / 13°c (base) Lo 42°f / 6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Thunderstorms
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of rain showers
Snow Potential
Wind:
WSW at up to 15 mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...July 07 to 10--We expect near to below average temperatures for the 4th of July weekend, with an increase in thunderstorms and showers. This is due to low pressure once again across the northwest US, and high pressure centered to the east/ southeast, for subtropical moisture being channeled between the two. T-Storm and shower activity continues at this level into the following week (probably 40% chance to showers likely), then begins to gradually dry out with warming temperatures toward the 10th of July.
--For those who want to know, it looks like an El Nino SST pattern is developing and strengthening. We would expect more moisture for thunderstorms and showers this summer, and Pacific Hurricane activity with this development. We do not think this will be a dry summer compared to average, in fact it may be a bit wet. This fall/ winter the El Nino should still be with us. This usually means a near to below average snowfaall year for northern Colorado, and near to above average snowfall for southern Colorado. That is very general, but we will try to work up some snowfall and temperature comparisions as we get closer. CM