Wolf Mountain (Base: 5,300', Top: 6,300')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Tuesday, February 7, 2012
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::: PARTLY CLOUDY AND CHILLY TODAY/ LIGHT SNOW WEDNESDAY/ ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY/ PARTLY CLOUDY FRIDAY/ LIGHT SNOW SATURDAY/ LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOWFALL SUNDAY AND MONDAY :::
DETAILED SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 7th...Today --PARTLY CLOUDY AND CHILLY-- -> Low pressure scoots eastward onto the plains with partly cloudy skies during the day. This is as high pressure ridging aloft builds in from the west. Breezes increase out of the west and northwest due to this transition, otherwise we see plenty of sunshine and chilly temperatures.
Wednesday --LIGHT SNOW-- -> The low pressure system currently dropping some showers across central California is expected to push some moisture slowly eastward into Utah and Colorado, with light snow showers developing on Wednesday due to this moisture and some instability.
Thursday --SOME CLOUDS AND SUN MIXED, ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS-- -> Clouds decrease and we have some lingering isolated snow showers as moisture lingers, and we are under an unsettled northwest flow aloft on the east side of a high pressure ridge. At the same time, low pressure deepens across the upper Midwest/ Great Lakes.
Friday --PARTLY CLOUDY-- -> High pressure ridging is expected across the area, with some warming expected. A storm is expected to approach late Friday, with light snow developing on Saturday.
Saturday through Monday --LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW-- -> Colder temperatures and snow are expected each day due to 3 upper-level weather disturbances passing through. The second and third storms may be a bit stronger, with more snowfall for all areas Sunday and Monday. CM
Tuesday Feb 07, 2012
Hi 35°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 21°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and not as chilly with partly cloudy skies and increased breeziness.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph. Above timberline; SW at 10-20mph.
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Wednesday Feb 08, 2012
Hi 35°f / 2°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Mostly cloudy and chilly, with isolated to scattered light snow showers expected.
Precipitation:
Isolated to scattered snow showers likely.
Snow Potential
A trace to 1 inch of snowfall.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 5-15mph. Above timberline; NW at 10-20mph.
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Thursday Feb 09, 2012
Hi 34°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly to mostly cloudy and cool, with not much wind and isolated snow showers at times.
Precipitation:
20% chance for snow.
Snow Potential
A trace.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 5-15mph. Above timberline; NW at 10-20mph.
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Friday Feb 10, 2012
Hi 34°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 23°f / -5°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and milder with northwest breezes/ winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 5-15mph. Above timberline; NW at 10-20 gusts to 30mph.
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Saturday Feb 11, 2012
Hi 33°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 23°f / -5°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and milder with not a lot of wind. Clouds increase by noon, with snow showers developing in the afternoon through overnight.
Precipitation:
50% chance for snow afternoon through overnight.
Snow Potential
1 to 2 inches of snowfall.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to W at 10-20mph. Above timberline; W at 10-20 gusts to 30mph.
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Sunday Feb 12, 2012
Hi 34°f / 1°c (base)
Lo 22°f / -6°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy through the day, then cloudy overnight with light to moderate snow showers expected.
Precipitation:
50% chance for snow overnight.
Snow Potential
2 to 4 inches of snowfall overnight.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 5-15mph. Above timberline; NW at 10-20 gusts to 30mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...February 13 to 16
--We are watching for potentially more significant snow (better than "light") as we move into the 2nd half of February, with some of the computer model ensembles backing this up. Next Tuesday (14th) we have another shot at snow (probably light), then again next Thursday and Friday (16/ 17th) we may see more snowfall from another low pressure system. We will update when more info is available.
We have a moderate La Nina SST pattern in place through the winter, starting to weaken now, and expected to weaken into summer 2012. We expect increased storminess across the west in mid February as the pattern changes back to unsettled. CM
