Tahoe - Saturday March 8, 2014 - High pressure ridging strengthens across the west coast and western US, with any storms deflected further north mainly into Canada, for mostly sunny skies. Late Sunday and through Monday we expect a shot of snow for Tahoe, best the further north you are, so north Tahoe including Alpine and Squaw should do best. Tuesday looks chilly, with the storm that dropped snow through Monday taking a turn south across Nevada.
Please see our 1-2+ week long range outlook toward the bottom of this page.
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7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 14 to 24 March, 2014 - Mid to late next week we expect Pacific storms to move in mainly up north with periods of snowfall across the resort areas of the Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains as high pressure ridging continues across the southwest US, plus most of the west coast, and deflects storms northward. Mostly dry and sunny weather is expected. Between the 17th and 20th, we may see a longer-lasting large scale trough of low pressure (and unsettled weather, rain and snow) develop across the western US. This could really help out the Sierra Nevada snow pack and reservoirs, which is needed not only for recreation, but for agriculture in California. We will be watching. CM
Longer Range Outlook
As of now, March 2014, we are continuing to be affected by an ENSO-Neutral, or La Nada Sea Surface Temperature pattern across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific (SSTs near to slightly below average).
The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.
We expect the ENSO Neutral, or La Nada pattern (almost a La Nina) to continue, and in the last 30 days we have seen more of a La Nina pattern develop with colder SST's along the eastern Equatorial Pacific and even the region 3.4 always referred to, though less so in 3.4. We are not seeing the trend toward El Nino yet.
Since we are seeing an actual cooling of the eastern Equatorial Pacific in the last month, and not much change in the 3.4 region, we expect this to not bode well for a shift out of a La Nada pattern, yet. If we start to see warming in the region mentioned, then we expect a potential strengthening jet stream across the Pacific, and increased moisture in general for Pacific storms as they move in more directly off the Pacific (we already got a taste of this with recent very strong but snow-level challenged storms). More of these may move in mainly after the 15th and affect all areas of the west, but for now these Pacific storms mainly affect the northwest US and northern Rocky Mountains, plus Colorado (as the southwest US ridge of high pressure continues, again next week). We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available.
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It's a mountain with multiple topographical personalities...long runs, wide-open groomed cruisers and pristine powder-filled bowls. Two of America's hairiest natural scare tactics - Mott and Killebrew Canyons. Steeps like The Face and Gunbarrel. And rows of regal pines spaced so perfectly, you'd swear Nature and the Gods of Tree Skiing were in cahoots. Most importantly, there's our legendary deep powder, which descends from the sky to serve up skiing and riding with California's most vertical. Heavenly is located on the south shore of Lake Tahoe. The resort spans two states with 50% of the terrain in Nevada and another 50% in California. Heavenly has four base lodges; Stagecoach and Boulder Lodges in Nevada; and the California Lodge and the Gondola at Heavenly Village located in California.