Tahoe - Saturday March 8, 2014 - High pressure ridging strengthens across the west coast and western US, with any storms deflected further north mainly into Canada, for mostly sunny skies. Late Sunday and through Monday we expect a shot of snow for Tahoe, best the further north you are, so north Tahoe including Alpine and Squaw should do best. Tuesday looks chilly, with the storm that dropped snow through Monday taking a turn south across Nevada.
Please see our 1-2+ week long range outlook toward the bottom of this page.
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7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 14 to 24 March, 2014 - Mid to late next week we expect Pacific storms to move in mainly up north with periods of snowfall across the resort areas of the Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains as high pressure ridging continues across the southwest US, plus most of the west coast, and deflects storms northward. Mostly dry and sunny weather is expected. Between the 17th and 20th, we may see a longer-lasting large scale trough of low pressure (and unsettled weather, rain and snow) develop across the western US. This could really help out the Sierra Nevada snow pack and reservoirs, which is needed not only for recreation, but for agriculture in California. We will be watching. CM
Longer Range Outlook
As of now, March 2014, we are continuing to be affected by an ENSO-Neutral, or La Nada Sea Surface Temperature pattern across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific (SSTs near to slightly below average).
The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.
We expect the ENSO Neutral, or La Nada pattern (almost a La Nina) to continue, and in the last 30 days we have seen more of a La Nina pattern develop with colder SST's along the eastern Equatorial Pacific and even the region 3.4 always referred to, though less so in 3.4. We are not seeing the trend toward El Nino yet.
Since we are seeing an actual cooling of the eastern Equatorial Pacific in the last month, and not much change in the 3.4 region, we expect this to not bode well for a shift out of a La Nada pattern, yet. If we start to see warming in the region mentioned, then we expect a potential strengthening jet stream across the Pacific, and increased moisture in general for Pacific storms as they move in more directly off the Pacific (we already got a taste of this with recent very strong but snow-level challenged storms). More of these may move in mainly after the 15th and affect all areas of the west, but for now these Pacific storms mainly affect the northwest US and northern Rocky Mountains, plus Colorado (as the southwest US ridge of high pressure continues, again next week). We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available.
If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.
The closest major family resort to the Bay Area and Sacramento, Sierra-at-Tahoe is Lake Tahoe's best-kept secret. The resort's North facing location keeps the snow in great condition for days and with a variety of terrain to choose from the entire family or group of friends can find something to cater toward their ability. Sierra is one of the only resorts that offers beginner, intermediate and advanced terrain all accessible from the summit lift, allowing groups to ride together while still enjoying the runs they want to hit. Five backcountry gates keep expert skiers entertained for hours and give breathtaking views of Lake Tahoe along with quite, uncrowded lines you can't find at other resorts. With new terrain park features, access to backcountry terrain, and new adventure parks for kids, Sierra-at-Tahoe Resort has something to offer everyone. Sierra-at-Tahoe is Northern California's home away from home. At this resort, guests are greeted by name and treated like family. Located on Highway 50, Sierra is the closest major snowsports resort to San Francisco and Sacramento, yet it's just a stone's throw away from the glitz of South Lake Tahoe and a multitude of hotel and casino lodging options. Convenience, value and great service are just a few of the words that summarize Sierra. Another asset is the location of its slopes, which are wind-protected and cradle the fresh powder for days. Skiers and riders of all ability levels can easily find their niche here, whether it's exploring the never-ending tree skiing, cruising down a 2.5 mile beginner run from the summit or hucking themselves off a tabletop in one of the many terrain parks and pipes scattered throughout the mountain.