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Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Sunday, November 29, 2015
TODAY - The low pressure system from out west moves in and through Colorado starting late today/ tonight, with a more eastward (and colder) push of the wind flow across the mountains, for better accumulations across Aspen and northern Colorado resorts.
MONDAY - Low pressure moves eastward onto the plains, strengthening, with an unsettled pattern overhead, lingering moisture, and favorable orographics for moderate snow across northern resorts and northwest slopes, lighter snow for Aspen. Monday looks quite cold.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY - Low pressure moves further eastward, with clearing skies and cold air continuing in place, but plenty of sunshine. Wednesday looks a bit milder. We expect some low elevation temperature inversions to hold Aspen's nighttime and daytime temperatures down lower than the nearby mountains, as the more dense and cold air sits in the lower valley areas. Please see the long range forecast for more. CM
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7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) -
Next Tuesday through Friday (through Dec 4th) we could see frequent and fast shots of snow (1 day of sun and the next snow, then a sunny day, etc.). A few days of stronger high pressure ridging and warmer temperatures may follow this.
The El Nino SST pattern is strong, right now, and it looks like we will see a VERY strong El Nino continue this winter, possibly stronger than the 1997-1998 version, which is the strongest (in terms of SST anomaly) on record since 1950. This set-up would usually cause heavier rain and snow across California (mainly southern and central, including Tahoe, but especially including Mountain High and Big Bear, as the epic 1997-1998 season can attest to) and the southwest US this winter. This would be a vast improvement for Tahoe-Mammoth. Southwest Colorado and northern New Mexico usually do well, including Taos Ski Valley, who had a great season in 2014-2015 with the weak El Nino(ish) anomaly. Aspen is in between, and we would say average snowfall should be expected at Aspen-Snowmass in 2015-2016, which would make for a good year. We will be monitoring the progress of this right here, stay tuned... CM
Explore one of our four inter-connected peaks of amazing skiing and riding and world class terrain parks. From the high Alpine bowls of Peak 7 to the best learning terrain in Colorado, With the addition of the Imperial Express SuperChair, guests can experience 400 acres of terrain previously accessible only by hiking. In December 2005, Breckenridge Ski Resort added the Imperial Express SuperChair, the highest chairlift in North America, reaching 12,840 feet.