Taos Ski Valley (Base: 9,207', Top: 11,819')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Thursday, September 2, 2010*Taos Ski Valley is a sponsor of this forecast, please thank them if you get a chance*
We are holding more give aways through the summer. If you want a shot at them, please log in to Facebook. We appreciate your use of the site! Here is the link to our Facebook page (you need to cut and paste it);
http://www.facebook.com/snowforecast.com
::: WARMER, DRY AND MOSTLY SUNNY :::
SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 2nd at 6:17am...Today and Friday --WARMER, MOSTLY DRY AND SUNNY-- -> High pressure ridging aloft builds in as low pressure moves east from MT/ WY into the plains states today, with a resulting drier northwest flow aloft. Temperatures rebound some, but not like you would expect under a strong summer-like ridge. In other words, summer is fading away, and more fall like patterns are developing. Winds drop off to mostly light, except above timberline, and mornings look a bit chilly. Isolated cloud build-ups develop each afternoon.
Saturday through Monday --WARMER, MOSTLY DRY, WINDS INCREASE-- -> Another Gulf of Alaska low pressure system starts developing across western Canada and the northwest US, causing increased southwest winds and mild temperatures. Due to the more southerly flow aloft, we do not see much cooling, and some moisture may be pulled in across the area. With this moisture we may start seeing some isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but we will have to watch and see how much moisture ends up being available (moisture may be limited this late in the season). CM
Friday Sep 03, 2010
Hi 73°f / 57°f (base/top)
Lo 35°f / 41°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and warmer with isolated cloud build-ups developing in the area by afternoon.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
NW at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; NW at 10 to 20mph.
|
Saturday Sep 04, 2010
Hi 73°f / 58°f (base/top)
Lo 37°f / 41°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear to partly cloudy and slightly warmer, with isolated thunderstorms and showers developing in the area by afternoon. Thunderstorms and showers end in the evening.
Precipitation:
10% chance for showers by afternoon.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
W at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; W/ NW at 10 to 20mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
|
Sunday Sep 05, 2010
Hi 72°f / 56°f (base/top)
Lo 39°f / 42°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and warm, with isolated thunderstorms and showers developing in the area by afternoon. Thunderstorms and showers end in the evening.
Precipitation:
20% chance for showers by afternoon.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
SW at 5 to 15mph. Winds above timberline; W at 10 to 20mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
|
Monday Sep 06, 2010
Hi 73°f / 23°c (base)
Lo 37°f / 3°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy
Precipitation:
None expected
Wind:
WSW at up to 10 mph.
|
Tuesday Sep 07, 2010
Hi 74°f / 23°c (base)
Lo 39°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Partly Cloudy with Isolated Storms
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of rain showers
Wind:
SW at up to 5 mph.
|
Wednesday Sep 08, 2010
Hi 73°f / 23°c (base)
Lo 40°f / 4°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Chance of Thunderstorms
Precipitation:
30% Chance of rain showers
Wind:
S at up to 10 mph.
|
Long range forecast / discussion...September 07 to 10~This weekend and next week we see strong low pressure again hitting the northwest US, gradually drawing subtropical moisture in across New Mexico/ Colorado. This is expected to cause increased thunderstorms and showers, along with eventual cooling of temperatures across the resort areas mainly next week (as low pressure over the northwest US persists). We will have to watch for availability of moisture in this pattern, but a tropical system (tropical storm, hurricane, etc.) moving across Mexico could be all we need to generate the moisture needed for thunderstorms next week. High pressure aloft and warming temperatures may develop late next week/ weekend (10-12th). By Mid-September, we may see a stronger early season Gulf of Alaska low pressure system develop across the northwest US.
The El Nino SST pattern is now neutral, and a La Nina SST pattern will likely take over for the coming fall/ winter, through possibly the season following (through 2012). We will work on some snowfall comparisons for similar La Nina years as we get closer. CM
