Taos Ski Valley (Base: 9,207', Top: 11,819')
6-day Forecast Discussion Updated for Friday, February 3, 2012Taos Ski Valley supports this forecast, please thank them if you like it.
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::: CONTINUED SNOW IS EXPECTED TODAY (GREAT DAY AND WEEKEND COMING UP!)/ MOSTLY SUNNY AND CHILLY ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY/ ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SNOW NEXT TUESDAY + WEDNESDAY ::: DETAILED SUMMARY FOR THE WEEK -//> UPDATED FOR FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 3rd...Today --CONTINUED ACCUMULATING SNOW-- -> Continued snow showers (4-5" of snow is being reported by a SnoTel station at 11,000 feet this morning) are expected on a colder day today as low pressure sweeps into the plains, and a lingering moist flow of winds and an unsettled pattern is overhead. It is looking good out there!
Saturday through Monday --MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A WARMING TREND-- -> A pretty sharp ridge of high pressure builds in across the western US and southwest Canada, for mostly sunny skies and chilly but warming temperatures, and a lot less wind by Sunday and Monday.
Tuesday and Wednesday --CHANCE FOR SNOW-- -> A low pressure system may move in out of the southwest, causing another chance for snow across northern New Mexico. Temperatures drop again and clouds increase on Tuesday. We will have to watch for this possibility.
CM
Friday Feb 03, 2012
Hi 25°f / 11°f (base/top)
Lo 12°f / 4°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Cloudy and colder, with more snow showers expected through the day.
Precipitation:
Snow likely.
Snow Potential
2 to 4 inches of additional snowfall.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to N at 5-15mph. Above timberline; N at 10-20mph.
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Saturday Feb 04, 2012
Hi 30°f / 16°f (base/top)
Lo 3°f / 2°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and chilly, with drier northwest breezes.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to NW at 5-15mph. Above timberline; NW at 10-20mph.
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Sunday Feb 05, 2012
Hi 36°f / 21°f (base/top)
Lo 2°f / 7°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Mostly clear and milder, with west breezes/ winds.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to SW at 5-15mph. Above timberline; W at 10-20 gusts to 30mph.
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Monday Feb 06, 2012
Hi 40°f / 25°f (base/top)
Lo 10°f / 12°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Partly cloudy and milder, with more west breezes.
Precipitation:
None expected.
Snow Potential
None expected.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to SW at 5-15mph. Above timberline; W at 10-20mph.
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Tuesday Feb 07, 2012
Hi 35°f / 21°f (base/top)
Lo 18°f / 12°f (base/top)
Sky Condition:
Increasing clouds with developing light snow showers. Increased winds are expected.
Precipitation:
40% chance for snow.
Snow Potential
1 to 2 inches of snowfall.
Wind:
Variable at 4-12mph, increasing to SW at 10-20mph. Above timberline; SW at 15-25 gusts to 35mph.
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Wednesday Feb 08, 2012
Hi 41°f / 5°c (base)
Lo 23°f / -5°c (base)
Sky Condition:
Slight Chance of Light Snow Showers
Precipitation:
Slight Chance (20%) of snow
Wind:
NW at up to 5 mph.
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Long range forecast / discussion...February 09 to 12
--A storm moves in off the Pacific by the 7th/ 8th, with mostly light to moderate snowfall possible as it moves in out of the southwest/ west. It looks like high pressure ridging across the west may hold until mid February. Despite this ridge, some rogue storms and snowfall are still possible for northern New Mexico from mainly the 10th-15th. We are watching for potentially more significant snow as we move into the 2nd half of February.
We have a moderate La Nina SST pattern in place through the winter, starting to weaken now, and expected to weaken into summer 2012. We expect increased storminess across the west in mid February as the pattern changes back to unsettled. CM
