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Short Range Forecast Discussion

->This free forecast is brought to you courtesy of Mountain High Resort<-
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Saturday, December 20, 2014 - Saturday we see upper-level high pressure ridging build in some (weak), as a low pressure system gins up across the northwest and the jet stream rages to the north (lots of moisture there). We expect partly cloudy skies and the air not so dry (above average humidity for a partly cloudy day in December), with increased northwest breezes/ winds. Sunday through Tuesday very strong high pressure ridging aloft builds in from the eastern Pacific. We expect above freezing temperatures mostly top to bottom, except at times we could see sub-freezing temps in Wrightwood and at the east resort base (early mornings). A mild Santa Ana wind will help to keep temperatures from getting too warm, but it will still be a bit spring-like. Next Wednesday and Thursday we expect low pressure moving in across the northwest US to start carving south (Christmas Day), with increased winds and some cooling of temperatures (dry though). Next weekend, Friday onward 26th on) a colder Santa Ana wind may develop in the wake of the northern storm, allowing for an improvement in snow conditions.
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(please see the longer range forecasts toward the bottom of this page) CM

Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
8,600 ft
6,500 ft
2,100 ft
2.5mi
RESORT INFO ↑42° ↓31° ↑52° ↓32°
  • Last Update 21 Dec @ 10:12
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 0 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 0 in
  • Season Total 0 in
  • Average Base Depth 0 in
Comments
None Reported
Today's Snow Potential
None Expected
What's Open?
  • Trails0 of 28
  • Lifts0 of 4
  • Acreage0 of 400 (0%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
21 Sunday ↑42° ↓31° ↑52° ↓32°
Sky Condition
Mostly clear and mild with north winds developing (but not as dry as the usual Santa Ana wind).
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the N at 9 to 17 MPH.
22 Monday ↑45° ↓37° ↑55° ↓35°
Sky Condition
Mostly clear and continued mild with north winds continuing (still not as dry as the usual Santa Ana wind).
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the N at 16 to 31 MPH, with gusts up to 45MPH.
23 Tuesday ↑48° ↓40° ↑57° ↓33°
Sky Condition
Mostly clear and continued mild with less wind.
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the NNE at 8 to 47 MPH, with gusts up to 73MPH.
24 Wednesday ↑50° ↓42° ↑59° ↓35°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy (high clouds) and milder with an approaching (dry) storm.
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the NNE at 4 to 16 MPH.
25 Thursday ↑43°  6c° ↓32°  0c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly sunny
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the WNW at 10 to 14 MPH.
26 Friday ↑39°  4c° ↓34°  1c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly sunny
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the N at 4 to 12 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

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7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 25 December to 04 January, 2014 - COLORADO/ NEW MEXICO: All next week (22nd onward) we expect a more favorable northern storm track (all Christmas week), for better chances of better than light, and more powdery/ cold snow, due to the colder storm origins from out of the Gulf of Alaska and crossing Canada on the way in. After Christmas week and toward the end of 2014, we expect storm-blocking higher pressure ridging to build in across the area, with more sunshine and less potential for any snow. NORTHWEST US and SOUTHWEST CANADA: High pressure pushes in across the area from the southwest US and eastern Pacific much of Christmas week, with some tail ends of storms (warmer southern portion) moving through, causing rain showers and higher elevation snow showers, with mostly rain at and below ski resort base elevations (snow level issues, rain mix at base elevations) across the Pacific Northwest including north Idaho ski resorts. Southwest Canada (Alberta/ British Columbia) should see less snow level issues and more snow potential than Inland Northwest ski resorts, all through Christmas week. It looks like the Inland Northwest may see a white Christmas, showing up a day or so before Christmas in the form of a colder storm (Christmas eve/ Christmas snow for Coeur d'Alene/ Spokane). SOUTHWEST US AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA; Mostly dry with high pressure ridging dominating for Christmas week and possibly through the end of the year, however, we will have to watch for cut-off low pressure systems and in the least frequent cold Santa Ana winds (after Christmas, through New Years) in a stagnant pattern of high pressure over the eastern Pacific/ low pressure over the northern and Central Rocky Mountains. This outlook includes southern California resort areas like Mountain High. UTAH looks like it may get clipped (northern Utah) Christmas day (or the day before/ day after), but mostly sunny skies may dominate all week under high pressure. WYOMING/ MONTANA We expect high pressure to set up across the southwest US, with storms again targeting the Pacific Northwest/ southwest Canada, and Wyoming/ Montana, for a nice freshen up of colder snow and temperatures before the major holiday, and during it. CM

Longer Range Outlook

December 2014, we are in a weak El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. (prior forecast-->) Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies yield a weak El Nino pattern across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development is on track, but it will be weak, still somewhat favorable for California (Tahoe-Mammoth/ SoCal) and the desert Southwest, plus southwest Colorado and northern New Mexico).

Current SST pattern- El Nino

A weak El Nino (or possible "neutral" pattern) is expected for this winter, into early 2015.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should expect a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). Tahoe/ Mammoth should see near average snowfall, with near average snowfall also expected across southern California and northern Arizona resorts. CM

Wide variety of natural terrain which dwarfs other S. California resorts, more on par with the Tahoe resorts in N. California. Most acreage and vertical ft. in S. California, including widest variety of terrain from beginner to expert. Widely spaced trees provide excellent glade skiing along with the only true double black diamond runs found locally. Closest Area to L.A., only 14 miles N. of 210 Frwy in Upland, 30 miles E. of L.A.

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