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Durango
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Colorado
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Short Range Forecast Discussion

->This free forecast is brought to you courtesy of Aspen-Snowmass Resort<-
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Thursday August 28, 2014 - It is chilly this morning, mid-upper 40's with showers in Aspen, upper 30's above 9,000 feet, and 30-32 with snow on Berthoud Pass... Today a cold (for August) low pressure system moves out of the area, with clearing skies and milder temperatures, but first some showers and clouds, and lingering high mountain snow. Friday and through the weekend we see a drying and warming trend, as low pressure continues to affect the northern Rocky Mountains and northwest US, and upper-level high pressure builds in across the area. The only diversion from this is Saturday, when a weather disturbance passes through with a chance for showers, plus increased wind. CM

Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
8,610 ft
6,330 ft
2,280 ft
1.4 miles
RESORT INFO ↑72°  22c° ↓43°  6c° MID MTN
  • Last Update 20 Apr @ 05:04
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 0 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 0 in
  • Season Total 179 in
  • Average Base Depth 0 in
Comments
None Reported
Today's Snow Potential
None expected
What's Open?
  • Trails0 of 97
  • Lifts0 of 20
  • Acreage0 of 3170 (0%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
29 Friday ↑72°  22c° ↓43°  6c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly clear to partly cloudy and warmer, with isolated thunderstorms over the peaks, plus not much wind.
Precipitation
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming N at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; Becoming N at 10 to 20mph.
30 Saturday ↑79°  26c° ↓45°  7c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly to mostly cloudy and a bit cooler, with increasing winds and isolated showers/ thunderstorms developing by the afternoon/ evening. Activity ends overnight.
Precipitation
30% chance for showers (afternoon/ evening)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; S at 5-15mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; Increasing to SW at 20 to 30 gusts to 45mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
31 Sunday ↑72°  22c° ↓43°  6c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy and milder with windy and drier conditions. The peaks may be affected by a thunderstorm, otherwise no storms.
Precipitation
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; SW at 5-15mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; SW at 20 to 30 gusts to 45mph.
01 Monday ↑75°  24c° ↓43°  6c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly clear to partly cloudy and milder with windy and mostly dry conditions. The peaks may be affected by a thunderstorm, otherwise no storms.
Precipitation
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 5-15mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; SW at 25 to 35 gusts to 50mph.
02 Tuesday ↑77°  25c° ↓43°  6c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly sunny
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the WSW at 3 to 8 MPH.
03 Wednesday ↑75°  24c° ↓43°  6c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Mostly sunny
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the SW at 3 to 9 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 30 August to 09 September, 2014 - Unseasonably cold and strong low pressure continues being generated out of the Gulf of Alaska, affecting mainly the northwest US and northern Rocky Mountains. The pattern should include some chances for summer thunderstorms, but for more brief periods than usual as this early season low pressure breaks the warming and heating, plus subtropical moisture, into shorter bursts. Next Tuesday through Thursday should be dry, with the mentioned low pressure being the cause, suppressing subtropical moisture to the south. Thunderstorms may start moving in by late next week as high pressure ridging displaces low pressure, and allows sufficient moisture into the area. Temperatures warm up also. CM

Longer Range Outlook

As of now, August 2014, we are still on a path to see an El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern hold across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. As of the last check, July has shown a possibly brief trend to cooler Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development has been put on hold for now). We will watch and see what happens.

Current SST pattern- La Nada

The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is still a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.

To reiterate, we expect an overall trend toward positive SST Anomalies along the eastern Equatorial Pacific. The likelihood of an El Nino pattern this fall and winter are really good, now "likely". Forecasts from other agencies are calling for El Nino conditions to hold this fall and winter. This would favor the southwest US (including southern California and across to Taos Ski Valley, even Aspen, Colorado) for heavier rain and snow this fall and mainly winter (2014-2015), after the wet monsoon summer across the southwest US. Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should see an active monsoon (thunderstorms and showers) this summer, followed by a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). This is our outlook for now, and we will update as info becomes available. All of this information is generated in-house.

We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available. If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.

Deep in the San Juans, Durango Mountain Resort's trademark benched, rolling terrain creates a winter playground for any level of skier and snowboarder. With 1200 acres, 85 trails and 2000+ vertical, Purgatory Mountain boasts steep shots on the front side, tree shots on teh back side, intermediate terrain in the middle and the dedicated Columbine learning area for first timers.

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