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Short Range Forecast Discussion

->This free forecast is brought to you courtesy of Aspen-Snowmass Resort<-
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Saturday, December 27, 2014 - We expect a short break today, then more snow moves in after midnight but mostly on Sunday, through Monday. It looks like all areas including Aspen-Snowmass should see moderate to heavy snowfall all totaled. Early season conditions are really shaping up nicely for Aspen-Snowmass. The storm is a bit limited on moisture, which should limit snowfall, but colder air and "fluffy"/ dry snow will allow deeper new snow depths. As mentioned, very cold air is expected to be plunging south across the area, so we expect conditions to become very dry and cold next Tuesday and Wednesday.
Buying discounted lift tickets through this link will support this website and help keep the short and long range forecasts going-> Get Discount lift tickets here and save up to 80%
(please see the longer range forecasts toward the bottom of this page) CM

Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
12,510 ft
8,104 ft
4,406 ft
5.3mi
RESORT INFO ↑1° ↓-11° ↑20° ↓0°
  • Last Update 27 Dec @ 05:12
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 3 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 9 in
  • Season Total 51 in
  • Average Base Depth 33 in
Comments
25in, past 6 days. Snow surface is powder
Today's Snow Potential
Snow begins again after midnight, but mostly on Sunday
What's Open?
  • Trails80 of 94
  • Lifts17 of 21
  • Acreage2608 of 3332 (78%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
27 Saturday ↑1° ↓-11° ↑20° ↓0°
Sky Condition
Becoming partly cloudy (mostly sunny) and cold. Clouds increase and snow showers develop mainly after midnight.
Precipitation
40% chance for snow after midnight
Snow Potential
Snow begins again after midnight, but mostly on Sunday
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; Increasing to W at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.
28 Sunday ↑5° ↓-6° ↑25° ↓-5°
Sky Condition
Skies become cloudy with mostly light snow showers and increased winds. Snow increases after resort close, and overnight.
Precipitation
Snow definite
Snow Potential
5 to 9 inches of snowfall
Wind
Base; SW at 5-15mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; W at 20 to 30 gusts to 40mph.
29 Monday ↑2° ↓-5° ↑22° ↓11°
Sky Condition
Cloudy and cold, with snow showers through the day and overnight
Precipitation
Snow definite
Snow Potential
We are expecting 3 to 6 inches of snowfall (8 to 15cm)
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph.
30 Tuesday ↑-1° ↓-12° ↑19° ↓0°
Sky Condition
Mostly cloudy and colder, with mostly isolated snow showers.
Precipitation
30% chance for snow
Snow Potential
A trace to 1 inch of snowfall
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; SW at 20 to 30 gusts to 40mph.
31 Wednesday ↑8° ↓-7° ↑25° ↓-7°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy and not as cold, with very isolated snow showers.
Precipitation
10% chance for snow
Snow Potential
A trace
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; SW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph.
01 Thursday ↑21°  -6c° ↓9°  -13c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with a chance for snow
Precipitation
30% chance for snow. (Potential precip: 0.02in, 0.6mm)
Snow Potential
We are expecting a trace to 1 inch of snowfall (1 to 3cm)
Wind
From the SE at 7 to 8 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

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7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 01 to 11 January, 2014 - COLORADO/ NEW MEXICO: We expect storm-blocking higher pressure ridging to build in across the area, with low pressure systems tending to cut-off and affect mainly the southwest US. We do not expect to see anything exciting (in terms of snow) in this time frame. Toward and after the 9th/ 10th, Pacific storms may start to affect the western US after a blocking ridge of high pressure breaks down. More details are coming. NORTHWEST US and SOUTHWEST CANADA: High pressure pushes in across the area from the southwest US and eastern Pacific, with occasional storms moving through at times, causing snow showers at resort elevations, mainly across the Cascades of OR/ WA and southwest Canada coastal mountains, less so inland (less snow potential). Southwest Canada (Alberta/ British Columbia) should see more snow potential than Inland Northwest ski resorts, more frequent snow potential, but with more sun than usual in between. TAHOE/ MAMMOTH/ NORTHERN SIERRA; We expect mostly dry weather under a ridge of high pressure, with mostly sunny skies and cool to milder than usual temperatures. Not much wind is expected. After the 9th/ 10th we expect Pacific storms to start affecting the west coast, and resort areas with snow. SOUTHWEST US AND SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA; Mostly dry with high pressure ridging dominating through the end of the year. After the 9th/ 10th we expect Pacific storms to start affecting the west coast, and resort areas with snow. This outlook includes southern California resort areas like Mountain High. For UTAH we expect mostly sunny skies under a more dominant upper-level ridge of high pressure. WYOMING/ MONTANA Upper-level high pressure ridging holds across the west for the most part, with storms clipping the area at times through the first 3rd of January. CM

Longer Range Outlook

December 2014, we are in a weak El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. (prior forecast-->) Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies yield a weak El Nino pattern across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development is on track, but it will be weak, still somewhat favorable for California (Tahoe-Mammoth/ SoCal) and the desert Southwest, plus southwest Colorado and northern New Mexico), like this season has shown so far.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

A weak El Nino (or possible "neutral" pattern) is expected for this winter, into early 2015.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should expect a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). Tahoe/ Mammoth should see near average snowfall, with near average snowfall also expected across southern California and northern Arizona resorts. CM

We Are Different - Aspen Values & Principles

 
 

We have a collective responsibility to ensure that our company is a rewarding place to work and our community a desirable place to live. We respect and nurture the delicate balance between “resort” and “community” that makes Aspen-Snowmass unique. The combination of our values-based company with unparalleled mountain sports, community, history, culture and environment gives us a unique market niche. We are successful because we live the values and principles expressed here.

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