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Winter Park Base Cam
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Contact Information

Phone Number
303 316.1564

Location Information

Street Address
85 Parsenn Road
City
Winter Park
State
Colorado
ZIP Code
80482
Winter Park Resort Winter Park Resort Hot
How much snow are the computers forecasting for Winter Park?
Short Range Forecast Discussion
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Wednesday July 30, 2014 - Today we expect to see slight drying of the moisture plume that sits across Colorado, and also some upper-level weather disturbances move out. Despite this, we expect scattered thunderstorms for Aspen-Snowmass, and the rest of Colorado today, otherwise mixed sun and clouds. As high pressure shifts to the southwest of Colorado Thursday through Saturday, we expect less moisture across the area, more sunshine, and only isolated to scattered thunderstorms and showers each afternoon after mostly sunny mornings, Thursday through Saturday (Saturday looks like the driest day for Aspen), as a northwest flow aloft continues and slowly scours moisture out. Sunday and Monday, through Tuesday we see a change back to a lot of thunderstorms and showers developing in the area. Good soaking showers are possible again, and temperatures cool down once again as well. CM

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12,060 ft
9,000 ft
3,060 ft
4.6 miles
RESORT INFO ↑49° ↓35° ↑67° ↓41°
  • Last Update 27 Apr @ 05:04
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 0 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 0 in
  • Season Total 372 in
  • Average Base Depth 0 in
Comments
None Reported
Today's Snow Potential
None expected
What's Open?
  • Trails0 of 143
  • Lifts0 of 26
  • Acreage0 of 3081 (0%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
31 Thursday ↑49° ↓35° ↑67° ↓41°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with slightly warmer temperatures and drier air. Partly to mostly cloudy (pm) with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon/ evening, becoming isolated overnight.
Precipitation
50% chance for showers (afternoon/ evening), isolated showers overnight
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming NW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 10 to 20mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
01 Friday ↑52° ↓34° ↑69° ↓37°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with a continued drying trend, and warmer temperatures. Partly to mostly cloudy, with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon again, and ending in the evening.
Precipitation
40% chance for showers (afternoon)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming NW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
02 Saturday ↑56° ↓38° ↑72° ↓35°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with a continued drying trend, and warmer temperatures. Isolated showers and thunderstorms develop in the afternoon, and dissipate in the evening.
Precipitation
30% chance for showers (afternoon)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming NW at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; Becoming NW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
03 Sunday ↑59° ↓40° ↑75° ↓38°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy and drier/ warmer, with isolated showers and thunderstorms developing in the afternoon, and dissipating in the evening again.
Precipitation
20% chance for showers (afternoon)
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SE/ SW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; Becoming SW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Wind gusts to 40mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
04 Monday ↑55° ↓40° ↑70° ↓40°
Sky Condition
Becoming mostly cloudy with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing at any time morning through evening. Some heavy showers are possible. Showers become isolated overnight.
Precipitation
60% chance for showers
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 10 to 20mph. Above timberline; Becoming SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
05 Tuesday ↑66°  19c° ↓46°  8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with isolated storms
Precipitation
Isolated Storms (Potential precip: 0.14in, 3.57mm)
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the W at 10 to 15 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 05 to 15 August, 2014 - By mid next week (August 6th) we see upper-level high pressure ridging across the west (centered mainly near the 4-corners region ~ AZ/ NM/ UT/ CO or to the southwest of CO), with a low to mid grade monsoon pattern across the southwest US (Arizona/ New Mexico), feeding mostly isolated afternoon thunderstorms and near to above average temperatures for Colorado, scattered (or better) thunderstorm coverage each afternoon across northern New Mexico, and otherwise mostly sunny weather is expected. We will continue to have to watch for the influence of tropical systems, which will increase shower and thunderstorm potential in bursts. CM

Longer Range Outlook

As of now, July 2014, we are still on a path to see an El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern develop across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific (SSTs near to slightly below average). In fact, as of the last check, all of May and up until the last check of the charts (July), we see a trend to warmer Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (or at least warmer than average Sea Surface Temperatures (SST's) holding overall) across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (good sign).

Current SST pattern- La Nada

The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is still a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO, which stands for Pacific Decadal Oscillation. This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker.

To reiterate, we expect (and have seen) a trend toward positive SST Anomalies along the eastern Equatorial Pacific as of June 2, 2014 (SST's just west of South America along the equator are warming up, still). The likelihood of an El Nino pattern materializing by this summer and fall are becoming greater, now "likely". Forecasts from other agencies are calling for El Nino conditions to develop this summer and fall as well. This would favor the southwest US (including southern California and across to Taos Ski Valley, even Aspen, Colorado) for heavier rain and snow this fall and mainly winter (2014-2015), after a potentially wet monsoon summer across the southwest US including southern California through Colorado. Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should see an active monsoon (thunderstorms and showers) this summer, followed by a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). This is our outlook for now, and we will update as info becomes available. All of this information is generated in-house.

We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available. If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.

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