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Winter Park Base Cam
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Snoasis Cam
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Contact Information

Phone Number
303 316.1564

Location Information

Street Address
85 Parsenn Road
City
Winter Park
State
Colorado
ZIP Code
80482
Winter Park Resort Winter Park Resort Hot
How much snow are the computers forecasting for Winter Park?
Short Range Forecast Discussion

->This free forecast is brought to you courtesy of Aspen-Snowmass Resort<-
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Monday, November 24, 2014 - (We are updating the forecast this morning, as of 7:25am) - More snow is expected today as we see a weather disturbance pass through an unsettled northwest flow aloft, and temperatures look quite cold... more details coming shortly... The storm moves out Monday night, with Tuesday morning possibly one of the best early season scenarios you would ever expect to see, as the sun comes out on the newly fallen huge dump of snow. Wednesday through Friday look like great days to show up also, if you like snow + sunshine, as high pressure ridging slowly builds in and clouds become scarce (mostly sunny). (please see the longer range forecasts toward the bottom of this page) CM

Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
12,060 ft
9,000 ft
3,060 ft
4.6 miles
RESORT INFO ↑0° ↓-7° ↑14° ↓3°
  • Last Update 24 Nov @ 06:11
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 4 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 12 in
  • Season Total 28 in
  • Average Base Depth 22 in
Comments
12in, past 72 hrs. Snow surface is packed powder and powder.
Today's Snow Potential
8 to 12 inches of snowfall
What's Open?
  • Trails12 of 143
  • Lifts4 of 26
  • Acreage70 of 3081 (9%)
Other Info
  • Groomed Night Ski Trails10 (85%)
  • Trails with Snow Making12 (5%)
24 Monday ↑0° ↓-7° ↑14° ↓3°
Sky Condition
Continued cloudy with snow off and on through the day, less wind, much colder air, and snow decreasing/ ending overnight.
Precipitation
Snow definite
Snow Potential
8 to 12 inches of snowfall
Wind
Base; NW at 5-15mph, becoming NW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; NW at 20 to 30 gusts to 45mph.
25 Tuesday ↑5° ↓-7° ↑21° ↓-1°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy becoming cloudy, with snow developing late day, continuing through evening, and mostly ending overnight.
Precipitation
50% chance for snow
Snow Potential
4 to 7 inches of snowfall
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming NW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Above timberline; NW at 20 to 35 gusts to 60mph.
26 Wednesday ↑18° ↓6° ↑35° ↓-4°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy, milder, and windy.
Precipitation
None expected
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming NW at 10 to 20 gusts to 30mph. Above timberline; NW at 20 to 30 gusts to 45mph.
27 Thursday ↑37°  3c° ↓18°  -8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with a chance for snow showers
Precipitation
20% chance for snow. (Potential precip: 0in, 0mm)
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the W at 11 to 13 MPH.
28 Friday ↑36°  2c° ↓18°  -8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with a chance for snow showers
Precipitation
20% chance for snow. (Potential precip: 0in, 0mm)
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the W at 12 to 15 MPH.
29 Saturday ↑36°  2c° ↓18°  -8c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with a chance for snow showers
Precipitation
20% chance for snow. (Potential precip: 0in, 0mm)
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the W at 12 to 16 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 30 November to 09 December, 2014 - A large and cold Gulf of Alaska low pressure system will be developing for early next week (30th onward into December), delivering significant snow to west coast resorts all the way to Canada, and some even to southern California resort areas (on track). That low pressure system hits the Rocky Mountains afterward, from the northern Rocky Mountains south, with Colorado and northern New Mexico (Taos and Aspen) seeing snow Monday through Wednesday (Dec 1-3). A brief break of sunshine follows, and storms should be pretty regular, so we do not expect a long period of sun/ warming. CM

Longer Range Outlook

As of now, November 2014, we are still on a path to see a weak El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern hold across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies yield a weak El Nino pattern across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development is on track, but it will be weak at least to start, still favorable for California and the desert Southwest, plus much of Colorado and northern New Mexico). Please note; Many computer models indicate the El Nino SST pattern may become moderate strength later this fall and early 2015, with would help focus more of the Gulf of Alaska storm action across the southwest US and California, where its desperately needed.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

A weak El Nino is now being predicted for this fall and winter, into early 2015. It looks like the early season (October/ November) will see more rain and snow for southern and central California, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah and Colorado. This should help kick off the early season for places like Mammoth Mountain. This should also help build up a better than average base of snow for Aspen-Snowmass and Taos Ski Valley. Temperatures are expected to be near and below average for these areas as well, which helps. Maybe Thanksgiving will be pretty good for many more areas across the southwest, and even for Squaw Valley in Tahoe. The Northwest US is expecting a drier and milder than usual fall, with less snowfall than average, though with their usual heavy snowfall, especially in the Cascades, this drier/ milder than average fall season could still be good for resorts across the northwest US, mainly along the Cascades, less so inland.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is still a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation). This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker (it looks like this is the case with the current El Nino, which was expected to be strong initially.

To summarize, the possibility of an El Nino pattern this fall and winter are "likely". Forecasts from other agencies are calling for El Nino conditions to hold this fall and winter. This would favor the southwest US (including southern California and across to Taos Ski Valley, even Aspen, Colorado) for heavier rain and snow this fall and mainly winter (2014-2015), after the wet monsoon summer across the southwest US (we forecast this in the spring). Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should expect a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). Tahoe/ Mammoth should see near average snowfall

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