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Contact Information

Phone Number
303 316.1564

Location Information

Street Address
85 Parsenn Road
City
Winter Park
State
Colorado
ZIP Code
80482
Winter Park Resort Winter Park Resort Hot
How much snow are the computers forecasting for Winter Park?
Short Range Forecast Discussion

->This free forecast is brought to you courtesy of Aspen-Snowmass Resort<-
Short Range Forecast Discussion - Updated for Monday September 15, 2014 - Today through Wednesday looks continued mostly dry under a building upper-level high pressure ridge, with very isolated afternoon thunderstorms mainly over the higher ridges and peaks. We expect mostly sunny and dry conditions otherwise. Thursday through Saturday morning we see deep subtropical moisture from now Hurricane Odile move into the area, with some extra upper-level dynamics spun off of this system, combining to provide plenty of thunderstorms and showers, many heavy across Colorado and affecting Aspen-Snowmass with more beneficial rains. This has been a great summer for rain, and the drought is gone. On Friday a Gulf of Alaska low pressure system moves across Montana, and sends instability in the form of a low pressure trough, across Colorado, to help trigger more T-storms and rains. On Saturday we expect this low pressure to move east, to be replaced by a high pressure ridge, for clearing skies on Saturday, after some morning showers. CM

Do you want to keep track of the US and southwest Canada snowpack? Check here >.
12,060 ft
9,000 ft
3,060 ft
4.6 miles
RESORT INFO ↑53° ↓35° ↑70° ↓32°
  • Last Update 27 Apr @ 05:04
  • Snow Past 24 Hours 0 in
  • Snow Past 48 Hours 0 in
  • Season Total 372 in
  • Average Base Depth 0 in
Comments
None Reported
Today's Snow Potential
None expected
What's Open?
  • Trails0 of 143
  • Lifts0 of 26
  • Acreage0 of 3081 (0%)
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNone
16 Tuesday ↑53° ↓35° ↑70° ↓32°
Sky Condition
Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy and slightly warmer, with very isolated thunderstorms and showers possible in the afternoon, dissipating in the evening.
Precipitation
10% chance for mainly afternoon showers
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming NW at 5 to 15 gusts to 20mph. Above timberline; NW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 40mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
17 Wednesday ↑55° ↓37° ↑72° ↓33°
Sky Condition
Mostly clear becoming partly cloudy and warmer, with (again) very isolated thunderstorms and showers possible in the afternoon, dissipating in the evening.
Precipitation
10% chance for mainly afternoon showers
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming SW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; Becoming SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 40mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
18 Thursday ↑47° ↓38° ↑62° ↓42°
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy and cooler, with scattered to numerous thunderstorms and showers developing in the afternoon, and continuing through overnight. Heavy showers are expected.
Precipitation
70% chance for showers afternoon through overnight
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming S at 5 to 15 gusts to 20mph. Above timberline; S/ SW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 50mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
19 Friday ↑42° ↓33° ↑58° ↓41°
Sky Condition
Mostly cloudy and cooler still, with scattered to numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms in the area morning through overnight. Heavy showers are expected.
Precipitation
70% chance for showers
Snow Potential
None expected
Wind
Base; Variable at 4-12mph, becoming W/ NW at 5 to 15mph. Above timberline; W/ NW at 15 to 25 gusts to 35mph. Wind gusts to 45mph are possible in any thunderstorm.
20 Saturday ↑55°  13c° ↓41°  5c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with isolated showers
Precipitation
None Expected
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the W at 6 to 9 MPH.
21 Sunday ↑55°  13c° ↓39°  4c° MID MTN
Sky Condition
Partly cloudy with isolated storms
Precipitation
Isolated Storms (Potential precip: 0.3in, 7.6mm)
Snow Potential
None Expected
Wind
From the W at 10 to 15 MPH.
Long Range Forecast Discussion:

7 day to 2 week+ forecast (since 1998) - 21 September to 01 October, 2014 - It looks like upper-level high pressure ridging may re-establish strong, all across the western US, with above average temperatures and mostly isolated afternoon thunderstorm and shower potential, otherwise sunshine through much of September. The only caveat to that looks like late next week, when we may see the remnants of another Baja-bound Hurricane filter into the southwest US and then Colorado, with another increase in showers/ thunderstorms across Colorado, also Utah, Arizona, and New Mexico. The last few days of September into early October may deliver a chilly Gulf of Alaska storm system with snow at the higher Colorado resort elevations. CM

Longer Range Outlook

As of now, September 2014, we are still on a path to see an El Nino Sea Surface Temperature pattern hold across the Equatorial Eastern Pacific. August has shown a steady warming trend of Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies across the eastern Equatorial Pacific (El Nino development is on track).

Current SST pattern- El Nino

A weak El Nino is now being predicted for this fall and winter, into early 2015. It looks like the early season (October/ November) will see more rain and snow for southern and central California, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah and Colorado. This should help kick off the early season for places like Mammoth Mountain. This should also help build up a better than average base of snow for Aspen-Snowmass and Taos Ski Valley. Temperatures are expected to be near and below average for these areas as well, which helps. Maybe Thanksgiving will be pretty good for many more areas across the southwest, and even for Squaw Valley in Tahoe. The Northwest US is expecting a drier and milder than usual fall, with less snowfall than average, though with their usual heavy snowfall, especially in the Cascades, this drier/ milder than average fall season could still be good for resorts across the northwest US, mainly along the Cascades, less so inland.

Current SST pattern- El Nino

The larger time-scale SST pattern in place right now is still a cool phase PDO, or negative PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation). This is a more long term pattern (decades), and it has made any recent years El Nino SST patterns weaker (it looks like this is the case with the current El Nino, which was expected to be strong initially.

To summarize, the possibility of an El Nino pattern this fall and winter are "likely". Forecasts from other agencies are calling for El Nino conditions to hold this fall and winter. This would favor the southwest US (including southern California and across to Taos Ski Valley, even Aspen, Colorado) for heavier rain and snow this fall and mainly winter (2014-2015), after the wet monsoon summer across the southwest US (we forecast this in the spring). Northwest US areas, and southwest Canada, along with northern Colorado through Wyoming and the northern Rocky Mountains, should expect a drier than average, or near average snowfall winter (2014-2015). Tahoe/ Mammoth should see near average snowfall this winter. This is our outlook for now, and we will update as more info becomes available. All of this information is generated in-house.

We will keep this outlook updated as more information becomes available. If you want to know when the snow is coming (and be able to set unlimited alerts for any resort), within 5 minutes or less of us (our our sources) entering the data into any of our forecasts, be sure to download the app.

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